The Thursday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
No real change in my thinking since this morning. The next two weeks will feature above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall as the primary storm track runs from the Great Plains to the Great Lakes. We just catch the weakening surface fronts from these systems with only a few scattered showers from time to time. No severe weather, tornadoes, flooding. Nice and quiet here in the weather office for a while, rather unusual for late March and April.
TOMORROW: I think most of the day will be dry. A weakening band of showers and storms will move into the extreme north part of the state late tomorrow night.
SATURDAY: The front will stall and fizzle out over the Tennessee Valley by Saturday morning. A few widely scattered showers are possible early Saturday, but I still think most places will be dry with morning clouds giving way to afternoon sunshine. Temperatures will soar well into the 70s again.
SUNDAY: The old surface boundary moves north as a warm front. I think any showers Sunday afternoon will be isolated, and mainly over northeast Alabama.
MONDAY: Another storm system moves to the Great Lakes, and a weak front drifts in here with a chance of scattered showers Monday afternoon. Once again, nothing heavy, and no wash-out.
LONG RANGE: The middle of next week should be warm and dry, and then a few showers could show up Friday (April 7) with a weak front.
Thanks to everyone in Gardendale for the great hospitality this morning... I enjoyed speaking to the city employees on severe weather safety! The next map discussion video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow.
Just Like Summer
March 30, 2006, 3:37 pmA Summer-Like Pattern
March 30, 2006, 6:46 am
The Thursday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
This pattern looks like something you might see in July instead of March. The primary storm track well to the north and west; surface fronts running out of gas as they approach Alabama. Little chance of any severe weather; above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall. That is pretty much the story through mid-April.
Today should be another nice day. A partly sunny sky with a warm afternoon. Our forecast has a high of 79 today; some spots will probably exceed 80.
While we have the warm and dry weather, a severe weather situation will be unfolding for mid-America. SPC has a moderate risk of severe storms today in place for places like Tulsa and Kansas City, with a slight risk surrounding that.
TOMORROW/SATURDAY: The storm system responsible for the severe weather today over the central U.S. will move to the Great Lakes, and the trailing front will approach Alabama tomorow night. I still think most of the day tomorrow should be dry, but a band of showers and storms will ease into the Tennessee Valley tomorrow night. The GFS is now suggesting the front will stall and fizzle out before reaching I-20. So, we will continue to mention the best chance of showers Friday night. For Saturday, you cannot rule out a few scattered showers since we really never get into drier air, but with no upper support and fairly stable air, I just don't think rain will be a big issue on Saturday.
SUNDAY: A new system forms Sunday over the middle of the nation, and the old surface boundary, whatever is left of it, should lift northward as a warm front. Once again, I don't expect much rain at all, but a few isolated showers could form over the northern quarter of the state during the afternoon.
MONDAY: The surface low moves northward to the Great Lakes, and the trailing surface boundary might set off a few showers on Monday. But, once again, no severe weather, and rainfall amounts should be light.
REST OF NEXT WEEK: Pretty much the same routine. Another major storm out across the Rockies, but it makes little eastward progress. This should mean mostly dry weather here Tuesday through Thursday. The decaying surface front might bring showers by Friday April 7.
WINTER FADES AWAY: For you winter fans, scroll down and check out those Mt. Leconte pictures from one of our readers. No more really cold weather for a long time, but we can always enjoy those scenes.
BUSY DAY: I will be doing a big severe weather safety program up in Gardendale this morning for the city employees there, while Jason Simpson will be in downtown Birmingham at the Project Impact Community Awareness Day at Linn Park. I will be back in the office this afternoon and the next map discussion video will be available by 3:30!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
This pattern looks like something you might see in July instead of March. The primary storm track well to the north and west; surface fronts running out of gas as they approach Alabama. Little chance of any severe weather; above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall. That is pretty much the story through mid-April.
Today should be another nice day. A partly sunny sky with a warm afternoon. Our forecast has a high of 79 today; some spots will probably exceed 80.
While we have the warm and dry weather, a severe weather situation will be unfolding for mid-America. SPC has a moderate risk of severe storms today in place for places like Tulsa and Kansas City, with a slight risk surrounding that.
TOMORROW/SATURDAY: The storm system responsible for the severe weather today over the central U.S. will move to the Great Lakes, and the trailing front will approach Alabama tomorow night. I still think most of the day tomorrow should be dry, but a band of showers and storms will ease into the Tennessee Valley tomorrow night. The GFS is now suggesting the front will stall and fizzle out before reaching I-20. So, we will continue to mention the best chance of showers Friday night. For Saturday, you cannot rule out a few scattered showers since we really never get into drier air, but with no upper support and fairly stable air, I just don't think rain will be a big issue on Saturday.
SUNDAY: A new system forms Sunday over the middle of the nation, and the old surface boundary, whatever is left of it, should lift northward as a warm front. Once again, I don't expect much rain at all, but a few isolated showers could form over the northern quarter of the state during the afternoon.
MONDAY: The surface low moves northward to the Great Lakes, and the trailing surface boundary might set off a few showers on Monday. But, once again, no severe weather, and rainfall amounts should be light.
REST OF NEXT WEEK: Pretty much the same routine. Another major storm out across the Rockies, but it makes little eastward progress. This should mean mostly dry weather here Tuesday through Thursday. The decaying surface front might bring showers by Friday April 7.
WINTER FADES AWAY: For you winter fans, scroll down and check out those Mt. Leconte pictures from one of our readers. No more really cold weather for a long time, but we can always enjoy those scenes.
BUSY DAY: I will be doing a big severe weather safety program up in Gardendale this morning for the city employees there, while Jason Simpson will be in downtown Birmingham at the Project Impact Community Awareness Day at Linn Park. I will be back in the office this afternoon and the next map discussion video will be available by 3:30!
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