The Thursday morning web video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Right as we finally catch up on rainfall for the year (thanks to Arlene) last weekend, our rainfall deficit is back and will grow over the next five to seven days as a very dry pattern sets up.
The NAM did its best yesterday to suggest a convective system would scoot through Alabama tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow night, but now it agrees with the GFS and is dry as a bone through the weekend. The storms that form today around Tulsa and Fort Smith should slide through Louisiana and western Mississippi, missing Alabama completely.
The air is so dry we can pretty much safely rule out any afternoon showers and storms for the next four days, which is very unusual for June. Afternoons will stay pretty warm, but the humidity will be low. And, nights will be cooler. Looks like we will be down in the low 60s this weekend, with upper 50s possible in the cooler communities.
NEXT WEEK: The GFS has backed off on the idea of a westward drifting upper low across the deep south, and keeps the air very dry with a general trough holding over the eastern U.S. So, at the moment the first half of the week looks very dry.
TROPICS: An upper low is spinning over parts of the northern Caribbean and the southwest Atlantic, but that is not a good setup for tropical storm formation. And, another disturbance is over the Mexican coast at the Bay of Campeche, but the proximity to land should keep it under control. Everything else looks quiet for now.
LONG RANGE: Nothing to suggest any really extreme weather conditions for the end of June; the upper air pattern will relax and the weather here looks warm and muggy with afternoon storms returning....
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Right as we finally catch up on rainfall for the year (thanks to Arlene) last weekend, our rainfall deficit is back and will grow over the next five to seven days as a very dry pattern sets up.
The NAM did its best yesterday to suggest a convective system would scoot through Alabama tomorrow afternoon or tomorrow night, but now it agrees with the GFS and is dry as a bone through the weekend. The storms that form today around Tulsa and Fort Smith should slide through Louisiana and western Mississippi, missing Alabama completely.
The air is so dry we can pretty much safely rule out any afternoon showers and storms for the next four days, which is very unusual for June. Afternoons will stay pretty warm, but the humidity will be low. And, nights will be cooler. Looks like we will be down in the low 60s this weekend, with upper 50s possible in the cooler communities.
NEXT WEEK: The GFS has backed off on the idea of a westward drifting upper low across the deep south, and keeps the air very dry with a general trough holding over the eastern U.S. So, at the moment the first half of the week looks very dry.
TROPICS: An upper low is spinning over parts of the northern Caribbean and the southwest Atlantic, but that is not a good setup for tropical storm formation. And, another disturbance is over the Mexican coast at the Bay of Campeche, but the proximity to land should keep it under control. Everything else looks quiet for now.
LONG RANGE: Nothing to suggest any really extreme weather conditions for the end of June; the upper air pattern will relax and the weather here looks warm and muggy with afternoon storms returning....
on June 16, 2005, 5:27 am
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