Long Dry Spell Ahead

The Thursday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

This is not your standard weather pattern for June. Instead of maritime tropical air; we have dry continental air over the deep south, and the upper air pattern suggests the flow of moist Gulf of Mexico air will remain shut down well into next week. Dewpoints are low, and nights will stay pleasantly cool for the next several days. You can see J.B.'s post on lows this morning (some spots dipped into the upper 50s), and I expect more of the same early tomorrow. Afternoon highs will pull back into the 80s, and factor in those low humidity values and we will look for unusually comfortable conditions for this time of the year all the way through the weekend. I am sure the City Stages planners are very happy.

NEXT WEEK: The high amplitude pattern continues into early next week, with the big upper trough over the eastern U.S. For now we see no significant chance of rain for at least the first half of the week, and possibly longer. The GFS tries to show a disturbed area of weather over the western Gulf of Mexico by the middle of next week, which drifts toward Texas and Louisiana.

TROPICS: We don't expect any serious action over the next few days; the system over the Bay of Campeche is mostly over land now, and the upper low isn't changing much northeast of Cuba.