Hurricane Dennis has been moving across the open Gulf of Mexico this afternoon with not the slightest bit of resistance
Visible satellite photographs show that he still has a tightly wound eye, well formed, and he is growing stronger again.
Latest NHC advisory and track forecast point to a landfall on the Alabama-NW Florida coast Sunday Afternoon. Still too far out to try to say which community...could be Mobile, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Pensacola, you name it.
But the scary part is that the latest NHC point forecast estimates sustained winds of 125 mph with gusts as high as 155 just before landfall.
If that happens, he will be very destructive including a big storm surge east of the center. Many buildings still standing, but weakened from Ivan last September, can't stand much more.
DENNIS IN A NUTSHELL (4PM)
.....centered 320 miles SSE of Panama City, or 415 miles SE of Biloxi, Mississippi
.....moving NW 14 mph, gradually turning toward the NNW tonight or Sunday.
.....highest sustained wind about 105 mph, higher gusts
.....lowest pressure 955 millibars, 28.20 inches (has fallen a lot in the last 12 hours)
After making landfall, Dennis is forecast to move NW and north and soon after midnight Sunday night should be centered along the Alabama-Mississippi border east of meridian. Then on to west of Columbus, Miss., by midday Monday and into Extreme West Tennessee Monday night.
Tornado watches are near certain for most of Alabama as he progresses northward. Spinoff tornadoes forming quickly in spiral bands of thunderstorms are difficult to handle.
Flash flooding a real threat. In Central Alabama, 4 to 8 inches of rain possible. Wind damage may occur far northward into Alabama with the best chance along and west of Interstate 65. If Dennis grows as strong as forecast, trees and power lines will come down.
A Hurricane Warning is posted all along the the Alabama-NW Florida Coast and part of the Mississippi Coast. Inland Tropical Storm warnings extend into Central Alabama and a Flash Flood watch covers a wide area of the state.
Stay tuned...life must go on...
Visible satellite photographs show that he still has a tightly wound eye, well formed, and he is growing stronger again.
Latest NHC advisory and track forecast point to a landfall on the Alabama-NW Florida coast Sunday Afternoon. Still too far out to try to say which community...could be Mobile, Gulf Shores, Orange Beach, Pensacola, you name it.
But the scary part is that the latest NHC point forecast estimates sustained winds of 125 mph with gusts as high as 155 just before landfall.
If that happens, he will be very destructive including a big storm surge east of the center. Many buildings still standing, but weakened from Ivan last September, can't stand much more.
DENNIS IN A NUTSHELL (4PM)
.....centered 320 miles SSE of Panama City, or 415 miles SE of Biloxi, Mississippi
.....moving NW 14 mph, gradually turning toward the NNW tonight or Sunday.
.....highest sustained wind about 105 mph, higher gusts
.....lowest pressure 955 millibars, 28.20 inches (has fallen a lot in the last 12 hours)
After making landfall, Dennis is forecast to move NW and north and soon after midnight Sunday night should be centered along the Alabama-Mississippi border east of meridian. Then on to west of Columbus, Miss., by midday Monday and into Extreme West Tennessee Monday night.
Tornado watches are near certain for most of Alabama as he progresses northward. Spinoff tornadoes forming quickly in spiral bands of thunderstorms are difficult to handle.
Flash flooding a real threat. In Central Alabama, 4 to 8 inches of rain possible. Wind damage may occur far northward into Alabama with the best chance along and west of Interstate 65. If Dennis grows as strong as forecast, trees and power lines will come down.
A Hurricane Warning is posted all along the the Alabama-NW Florida Coast and part of the Mississippi Coast. Inland Tropical Storm warnings extend into Central Alabama and a Flash Flood watch covers a wide area of the state.
Stay tuned...life must go on...
on July 9, 2005, 3:47 pm
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on July 9, 2005, 3:50 pm
URNT12 KNHC 092129
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 09/21:16:10Z
B. 25 deg 44 min N
084 deg 47 min W
C. 700 mb 2659 m
D. 55 kt
E. 317 deg 026 nm
F. 015 deg 089 kt
G. 302 deg 004 nm
H. 947 mb
I. 11 C/ 3055 m
J. 18 C/ 3049 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. C12
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF302 1404A DENNIS OB 27
MAX FL WIND 101 KT NE QUAD 1944:20 Z
EXCELLENT RADAR PRESENTATION
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