The Wednesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Pure tropical air holds in place through Friday, and the upper trough that Dennis left behind will still mean scattered to numerous showers and storms through Friday. The sun will be out at times, and the rain will come down hard at times. Precipitable water from this morning's Shelby County Airport sounding was a whopping 1.99 inches. When it rains, it will pour. And, a shower is possible at any time, including the nighttime and morning hours.
Upper heights begin to rise over the weekend, and the showers should thin out, especially on Sunday. Then, we should see showers and storms increasing again by the middle of next week as a surface boundary approaches from the northwest. We wonder if any moisture from Emily will be involved in that stalled front toward the end of next week, even though landfall should not be anywhere close to Alabama...
MORE ON EMILY: The system has stuggled a bit today... still moving at a forward speed of 20 mph, and it probably won't strengthen rapidly until the thing slows down. It is also a very low latitude storm, and it might even bump into South America on the current course. Most models take the system across the Caribbean, across the Yucatan peninsula, and into the Mexican Gulf coast. The GFS gives it a little northward nudge next week and places it not too far south of Brownsville, Texas. But, if Emily doesn't develop a northward component of motion soon, it might wind up moving into central America.
FRANKLIN? The next system in the far eastern Atlantic does have some potential to become TD6, and maybe even tropical storm Franklin during the next few days. Some models recurve this one into the open Atlantic, others suggest a more westward track toward the east coast of the U.S. One way or another it should not be a direct problem for us.
SO... if you have a beach trip planned for the next week or so, no worries about a major hurricane coming at you!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Pure tropical air holds in place through Friday, and the upper trough that Dennis left behind will still mean scattered to numerous showers and storms through Friday. The sun will be out at times, and the rain will come down hard at times. Precipitable water from this morning's Shelby County Airport sounding was a whopping 1.99 inches. When it rains, it will pour. And, a shower is possible at any time, including the nighttime and morning hours.
Upper heights begin to rise over the weekend, and the showers should thin out, especially on Sunday. Then, we should see showers and storms increasing again by the middle of next week as a surface boundary approaches from the northwest. We wonder if any moisture from Emily will be involved in that stalled front toward the end of next week, even though landfall should not be anywhere close to Alabama...
MORE ON EMILY: The system has stuggled a bit today... still moving at a forward speed of 20 mph, and it probably won't strengthen rapidly until the thing slows down. It is also a very low latitude storm, and it might even bump into South America on the current course. Most models take the system across the Caribbean, across the Yucatan peninsula, and into the Mexican Gulf coast. The GFS gives it a little northward nudge next week and places it not too far south of Brownsville, Texas. But, if Emily doesn't develop a northward component of motion soon, it might wind up moving into central America.
FRANKLIN? The next system in the far eastern Atlantic does have some potential to become TD6, and maybe even tropical storm Franklin during the next few days. Some models recurve this one into the open Atlantic, others suggest a more westward track toward the east coast of the U.S. One way or another it should not be a direct problem for us.
SO... if you have a beach trip planned for the next week or so, no worries about a major hurricane coming at you!