The Thursday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Wow... about about those two blow-ups in the tropics. One is just east of the Bahamas, and the second one is south of Cuba. The one south of Cuba is headed toward Central America or the Yucatan peninsula; it might emerge over the Bay of Campeche and hit the Mexican Gulf coast in a few days, but no issue here.
The first one I mentioned sure looks good and should become tropical storm Franklin within the next 24 hours. Models are all over the road on this one; the GFDL recurves the system without impacting the U.S. The LBAR takes it to near Daytona Beach, while the BAMM runs are more to the south, moving the storm across the Florida peninsula and then winding up in the Gulf of Mexico.
Steering currents will be very weak over the next few days, and it might not be in a hurry to go anywhere. We should get the first recon reports from the system shortly...
AROUND HERE: Hot, humid, afternoon storms. You know the story... highs will be mostly in the 90 to 94 degree range through the weekend. I still think with Alabama being on the eastern edge of the heat bubble we might have some fairly active storms around here later today, and tomorrow and Saturday afternoon. Heights rise on Sunday and Monday which should mean fewer showers and storms. Of course, if we have a tropical system in the Gulf early next week all bets are off.
It could very well be the next five days will be the hottest period this summer; the long range GFS output shows lower heights around here as we get into August. But, trust me, summer still has has a long, long way to go.
Thanks to Brian Peters for handling the morning map discussion videos this week while I fill in for Johnson and Johnson on WZZK... everything gets back to normal next week.
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Wow... about about those two blow-ups in the tropics. One is just east of the Bahamas, and the second one is south of Cuba. The one south of Cuba is headed toward Central America or the Yucatan peninsula; it might emerge over the Bay of Campeche and hit the Mexican Gulf coast in a few days, but no issue here.
The first one I mentioned sure looks good and should become tropical storm Franklin within the next 24 hours. Models are all over the road on this one; the GFDL recurves the system without impacting the U.S. The LBAR takes it to near Daytona Beach, while the BAMM runs are more to the south, moving the storm across the Florida peninsula and then winding up in the Gulf of Mexico.
Steering currents will be very weak over the next few days, and it might not be in a hurry to go anywhere. We should get the first recon reports from the system shortly...
AROUND HERE: Hot, humid, afternoon storms. You know the story... highs will be mostly in the 90 to 94 degree range through the weekend. I still think with Alabama being on the eastern edge of the heat bubble we might have some fairly active storms around here later today, and tomorrow and Saturday afternoon. Heights rise on Sunday and Monday which should mean fewer showers and storms. Of course, if we have a tropical system in the Gulf early next week all bets are off.
It could very well be the next five days will be the hottest period this summer; the long range GFS output shows lower heights around here as we get into August. But, trust me, summer still has has a long, long way to go.
Thanks to Brian Peters for handling the morning map discussion videos this week while I fill in for Johnson and Johnson on WZZK... everything gets back to normal next week.
on July 21, 2005, 12:22 pm
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