Gradual Changes Ahead

The Monday morning web video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

In the weather office Friday afternoon I made the bold statement that Birmingham would stay below 95 all weekend, while the media hype machine was in full force about the "serious heat wave" ahead. Some people were calling for triple digits, with heat index values to 120! WRONG. I have lived through serious heat waves here, and this is not one.

The real "serious heat wave" was in progress across the middle of the nation where it was a big deal. Just not here.

The high in Birmingham was 93 on Saturday, and 94 on Sunday. This is barely above normal for late July; it is supposed to be hot in late July! And, no, I wasn't sitting in a cool office all weekend; I helped move our oldest son into a new apartment on Saturday during the middle of the day...

Yes, Tuscaloosa did rise to 97 yesterday, but that is one of the hottest places in the planet. I know, I grew up there.

With the ground getting drier, we might touch 95 today, but the heat will slowly back down after today, and by Wednesday and Thursday we will have a much better chance of cooling afternoon showers and storms as the air aloft becomes cooler and the air becomes more unstable. In addition, a nice surface boundary will be near the Alabama/Tennessee border by Thursday.

That surface front will bring some great heat relief to the midwest in coming days; the forecast high in Bismarck, ND today is only 69 degrees, after reaching 91 yesterday. Chicago will have a high of only 79 on Tuesday; yesterday the high in the windy city was 102.

TROPICS: Gert is fizzling out over Mexico, and Franklin started backing up yesterday. As expected, the steering currents around Franklin have collapsed, and it will just hang around in the Atlantic between the east coast of the U.S. and Bermuda over the next few days. A stronger trough should finally sweep the system out to sea in about five days. The system is not healthy; the circulation center is exposed with the main convection away from that center at this point.

Elsewhere, check out that big wave coming off the African coast on the video.

I should also mention here a "code orange ozone alert" remains in effect for Jefferson and Shelby counties. The idea here is to avoid driving as much as possible to help air quality, and if you have health issues like asthma you might want to stay indoors.

We are back on regular schedule for this week... thanks again to Brian Peters for handling the morning Internet shift last week while I was playing radio DJ on WZZK!
Posted by justin  
on July 25, 2005, 5:31 am
Well, 98 here in Rainbow City on Sunday was pretty dang hot!. I don't remember temps. being that high since 2001 or 2002. It may not be excessive heat but it sure as heck is not "NORMAL" for July.

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Posted by  
on July 25, 2005, 8:11 am
James, your analysis was right on the money (as usual). Most meteorologists here in metro Atlanta were forecasting mid...even upper 90's over the weekend, but I knew there was no way it would verify; not after the extremely heavy (13-16";) rainfall which has occurred during July across the area.

Yes it was hot and muggy....highs of 91° recorded on my Davis Vantage Pro wx station both Saturday and Sunday...but as you stated....it's supposed to be hot and humid in the deep south in late July; certainly no serious heat wave or reason to 1) make it a "priority one" tv news event or 2) open all the shelters and pretend it's July 1980 deja vu. In fact...thus far this summer has been even milder than last year's mild summer (when a July and summer max of 93° was recorded).

PW

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Posted by Jason  
on July 25, 2005, 12:02 pm
The highest I saw was 94 yesterday, in whorton.



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Posted by Josh  
on July 25, 2005, 1:28 pm
I currently have a temp of 90.7F and Hum. 68% so the heat index is 106F on my weather station in Franklin county.

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Posted by AC  
on July 25, 2005, 2:03 pm
I don't know how hot it is at my house, but hey, it is summertime..it's supposed to be hot, record heat or not!

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