http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
The weak closed low at 500 millibars seems to be defying prediction by the GFS model. Today's solution is much different than the one yesterday, but this one looks pretty good. The weak low is over North Alabama this morning and is expected to get picked up in the flow and move out of the area instead of meandering around and inching westward. Showers were fairly numerous across the southeast US yesterday and believe we'll see much the same scenario today. Still, not everyone will get wet - just the nature of showers.
SPC has outlooked northern MS, a good portion of western and central Tennessee, and western Kentucky for a slight risk of severe storms. The major threat today will be damaging wind in the form of downbursts with the potential for marginally severe hail in the three-quarter to one inch range.
Tropical Depression 9 continues to struggle. The center reformed north yesterday and did the same thing over night. Atmospheric and sea surface conditions become more favorable over the next 24 to 48 hours so some strengthening of the storm is possible. One of the computer model is even suggesting it may attain hurricane status in four or five days. The track is out over the Atlantic, so no threat to any land mass. Bermuda may feel some affects of the storm in six or seven days depending on how much of a northward track it takes.
Clouds helped to keep temperatures down a tad yesterday and that could happen again today.
I enjoyed my outing in the dunking booth at KidFest 2005 in Helena yesterday morning. Chuck Johnson from WZZK followed me in the dunking booth, and I had the opportunity - though it took three throws to do it - to be the first to dunk Chuck! It was fun and a wonderful way to give back to the community.
James will return all fresh from his vacation tomorrow. Have a great week and God bless.
-Brian-