The Monday afternoon map discussion is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Storms are firing up on radar as I type this around 1:30 p.m... they should fill in nicely over the next few hours, and rotate around the upper low seen at 700 mb around Auburn and Opelika. Some strong storms are likely, and some places will see heavy amounts of rain. Some dry air aloft might enhance downdrafts through the evening hours...
Afternoon storms should be a good bet again tomorrow, but over the latter half of the week they should become fewer and more widely spaced as heights begin to rise. The height at 500 mb (about 19,000 feet off the ground) is forecast to rise from 5881 meters this morning to 5911 meters by Wednesday evening. Understand we are not taking afternoon showers and storms out of the forecast later this week, they simply should be widely scattered.
Temperatures will rise to near 90 over the latter half of the week. Still no signs of excessive heat here, but I do note the 12Z run of the GFS shows the dreaded "594 circle" at 500 mb in the August 21-23 time frame, centered just northwest of here. I don't think that will be the beginning of any serious heat problems.
TROPICS: Harvey will move slowly through the north Atlantic this week. That thing might be hanging around up there at Christmas time. And, Irene seems to be reorganizing, and is now forecast by the NHC to be southwest of Bermuda by Saturday morning. I get the idea the steering currents might collapse around Irene this weekend, and lets not write this thing off just yet. Our friends along the Atlantic coast will still need to watch that system.
OK... have to shave the facial hair and head into the TV office to watch the storms bloom on radar. J.B. will be around for storm updates for the rest of the afternoon here on the blog.
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Storms are firing up on radar as I type this around 1:30 p.m... they should fill in nicely over the next few hours, and rotate around the upper low seen at 700 mb around Auburn and Opelika. Some strong storms are likely, and some places will see heavy amounts of rain. Some dry air aloft might enhance downdrafts through the evening hours...
Afternoon storms should be a good bet again tomorrow, but over the latter half of the week they should become fewer and more widely spaced as heights begin to rise. The height at 500 mb (about 19,000 feet off the ground) is forecast to rise from 5881 meters this morning to 5911 meters by Wednesday evening. Understand we are not taking afternoon showers and storms out of the forecast later this week, they simply should be widely scattered.
Temperatures will rise to near 90 over the latter half of the week. Still no signs of excessive heat here, but I do note the 12Z run of the GFS shows the dreaded "594 circle" at 500 mb in the August 21-23 time frame, centered just northwest of here. I don't think that will be the beginning of any serious heat problems.
TROPICS: Harvey will move slowly through the north Atlantic this week. That thing might be hanging around up there at Christmas time. And, Irene seems to be reorganizing, and is now forecast by the NHC to be southwest of Bermuda by Saturday morning. I get the idea the steering currents might collapse around Irene this weekend, and lets not write this thing off just yet. Our friends along the Atlantic coast will still need to watch that system.
OK... have to shave the facial hair and head into the TV office to watch the storms bloom on radar. J.B. will be around for storm updates for the rest of the afternoon here on the blog.
on August 8, 2005, 1:16 pm
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