9:30 PM Update

August 28, 2005, 8:41 pm
Posted by J.B. Elliott in Tropical Weather
Rating: 0/5   Votes : 0
Fresh information from the National Hurricane Center tonight. Main points:

* Sustained winds now 160 mph
* Still moving NW
* At landfall, projected to be at the high end of a Category 4
* Overall track forecast will show little or no change.
* However, at 36 hours a bit more eastward placing it in NW Alabama
* Hurricane eye now easily seen on New Orleans Radar

ALABAMA
No real changes from earlier posts. Tornado Watch continues for South part of the state. Several spiral bands have moved inland. At one time, tornado warning were issued for Mobile and Baldwin County tonight. A big storm surge expected along the Alabama Coast. Forecast on that unchanged. Could be 20 feet in upper part of Mobile Bay. In Central Alabama, including Anniston-Birmingham-Tuscaloosa, worst weather will be from Monday afternoon into Tuesday. Not as bad east of I-65, worse west of I-65. On west side of the state, including places like Livingston, Demopolis, Moundville, Tuscaloosa, Fayette (to name a few) could get as much as 3 to 6 inches of rain. Whole state will be on "bad side" of hurricane so there will be a risk of spinoff tornadoes.

LATE SPOT REPORTS
New Orleans International Airport...cloudy, wind NE 31, gusts to 39
New Orleans Lakefront Airport...light rain, wind NE 37, gusts to 45
Baton Rouge...light rain, wind NE 12
Gulfport and Biloxi...light rain, wind NE 24
Brookley Field, near Downtown Mobile...light rain, wind NE 20, gusts 25.

Prayers...many prayers are in order for all the folks in New Orleans tonight. In 40+ years of weather work, I have never seen anything this scary...

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 8:45 pm
J.B. How much East?

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 8:46 pm
There is still gridlock on I 10 in New Orleans. I am envisioning people stuck on the highways and bridges during landfall and being swept away. It's a definite possibility....

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Posted by Mikey  
on August 28, 2005, 8:48 pm
The mayor of New Orleans cannot make good decisions. He waited to late to order mandatory evacuations.

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Posted by Greg  
on August 28, 2005, 8:47 pm
This confirms the weakening. Now it will only be a 4, not a 5. Pressure is on the rise as well. Still looks bad, but could be worse

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 8:47 pm
That Ivor Van Heerden may know what he is talking about, he is on CNN NOW...

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 8:50 pm
i know one thing, i hope that mayor can sleep tonight, and many more to come, knowing the loss of life his procrastination in the evacuations will cause!!!!!!!!

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 8:50 pm
i know one thing, i hope that mayor can sleep tonight, and many more to come, knowing the loss of life his procrastination in the evacuations will cause!!!!!!!!

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Posted by Greg  
on August 28, 2005, 8:56 pm
MB's are up to 907. Winds are down to 135 at Flight Level and 145 at 5000 feet. Told you

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Posted by al911dispatcher  
on August 28, 2005, 8:58 pm
why are you acting like a child? great, it's weakening. what if it had not, and no one said it would be bad? where are you getting your info? post a linke

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:01 pm
I think you are reporting knots, Greg, not MPH

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Posted by Greg  
on August 28, 2005, 9:00 pm
LIVE TV dude. FOX news is broadcasting the hurricane hunters live on their channel. The pilot just reported what I just posted. I understand its a bad storm and bad things are going to happen. But dont get mad that I am getting info before anyone else.

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:01 pm
I was just reading something about Hurricane Andrew (1992) when it hit me that it made landfall on August 24th. Here we are on our 11th named storm of the season. In 1992, they were just having there 1st named storm! Talk about a jump in storm frequency.

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Posted by Greg  
on August 28, 2005, 9:02 pm
Sorry again. I am not reporting knots. Its down to 115-125 knots.

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Posted by al911dispatcher  
on August 28, 2005, 9:09 pm
I am not seeing that same info anywhere. 33/40's not reporting that right now. Sorry, info is apparently wrong

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:03 pm
I listened to the same report, he said knots

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Posted by Chip  
on August 28, 2005, 9:08 pm
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/290250.shtml



Your info is incorrect Greg. Here's the 10:00 CDT. advisory. Winds 140. 904 mb.

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Posted by Greg  
on August 28, 2005, 9:05 pm
Yeah, he said knots at 115-125 and then he went on to say that it translates to 135-145 knots. Also, it is about to go through an eye replacement. It could be down to 100 knots before landfall. IT WILL NOT BE A 5 AT LANDFALL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Posted by Paul  
on August 28, 2005, 9:09 pm
New recon 904mb-Winds still 160.

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:07 pm
Okay, people just chill out and put down the coffee.


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Posted by Chip  
on August 28, 2005, 9:09 pm
Sorry that was supposed to say 160 mph.

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:14 pm
The bad part is that it really doesn't totally matter whether it's a Cat 4 or Cat 5. Would you rather get run over by a freight train or an 18 wheeler? If it hits New Orleans as a 4 or 5, we may have one of the worst dsasters in American history.

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:18 pm
Greg, it doesn't matter if it's a 4 or a 5 or even a 3 when it makes landfall.......it is where it is hitting that makes for such a terrible situation. We just need to keep praying for those people in New Orleans that this monster of a storm does weaken significantly, but it'll still dump a heck of a lot of water into the city......

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Posted by  
on August 28, 2005, 9:39 pm
This is comical........

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