Being a holiday, I won't produce a map discussion video until later today.
Our weather stays very quiet through the end of the week with sunny days and fair nights. I noticed Bill Murray indicated a slight risk of a shower every day this week; he was probably spooked by those isolated showers that popped up yesterday. I think most places stay dry.
TROPICS: Needless to say, I was disturbed by tropical model output this morning:
The GFDL takes the disturbance now east of Florida right into New Orleans in several days as a 143 mph hurricane. That is too much to even think about.
Lets don't jump on this solution; the system remains disorganized at this moment, and there is little motion. But, needless to say, it will need to be watched closely. I will have a lengthy discussion on the afternoon video later today.
I am still watching the wave approaching the Lesser Antilles... no development yet but that sure looks like it is in an area that favors development this time of the year.
Have a wonderful Labor Day... a full discussion and video will be ready by 3:30 this afternoon.
Our weather stays very quiet through the end of the week with sunny days and fair nights. I noticed Bill Murray indicated a slight risk of a shower every day this week; he was probably spooked by those isolated showers that popped up yesterday. I think most places stay dry.
TROPICS: Needless to say, I was disturbed by tropical model output this morning:
The GFDL takes the disturbance now east of Florida right into New Orleans in several days as a 143 mph hurricane. That is too much to even think about.
Lets don't jump on this solution; the system remains disorganized at this moment, and there is little motion. But, needless to say, it will need to be watched closely. I will have a lengthy discussion on the afternoon video later today.
I am still watching the wave approaching the Lesser Antilles... no development yet but that sure looks like it is in an area that favors development this time of the year.
Have a wonderful Labor Day... a full discussion and video will be ready by 3:30 this afternoon.
on September 5, 2005, 9:03 am
A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAS REMAINED NEARLY STATIONARY JUST
OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF FLORIDA AND OVER THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BECOME SLIGHTLY BETTER ORGANIZED THIS
MORNING...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM IN THIS AREA DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED
TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM TOMORROW..IF NECESSARY. INTERESTS IN THE
BAHAMAS AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
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