The Tuesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
For most Alabama towns, today is the 14th day in a row without a drop of rain. And, yes, we are looking far and wide for rain but not having much luck finding any in the plethora of model output here.
We will continue to mention a few isolated showers on Thursday and Friday as a front slips through, but with very limited moisture and no upper support, most places won't get any beneficial rain.
The weekend ahead will be dry with temperatures cooling slightly; highs in the 85 to 88 degree range, and lows between 60 and 64.
A strong upper trough will develop over eastern Canada and the northeast U.S. in the September 20-22 period (if the 12Z GFS is correct), but the upper ridge holds down here and the latest run shows very little rain.
Then, in the September 25-27 time frame a long wave trough forms over the eastern half of the nation, which has the potential to bring in some very cool air at the end of the month, but unfortunately this run shows little rain with the frontal passage.
Bottom line is that the 12Z GFS offers little hope for a big rain event for the next 15 days around here. Guess we will get a little taste of living in a desert.
TROPICS: Ole Ophelia just keeps hanging around off the coast of the Carolinas. Latest recon data shows 989 mb and max flight level winds of 70 knots as of this writing, so it is just under hurricane force. Models agree nicely now with the NHC track; the system moves over the North Carolina coast tomorrow, and then out to sea later in the week. Lots of wind and rain for the upper South Carolina, and all of the North Carolina coast and Outer Banks during the next 36 to 48 hours.
Elsewhere the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet; I guess the wave to watch is the one near 8N/20W... a long way out there but in a prime position to develop and make the journey all the way across to the Caribbean.
And, the Gulf continues to recharge after Katrina's visit a couple of weeks ago... we notice sea surface temperatures are headed back toward the upper 80s now.
Looking forward to speaking to my friends at the Bagley Jr. High PTA tonight up in the far northwest part of Jefferson county.
Also... need to mention that a code orange air quality alert is in effect for the Birmingham metro tomorrow (Wednesday) for particulate pollution...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
For most Alabama towns, today is the 14th day in a row without a drop of rain. And, yes, we are looking far and wide for rain but not having much luck finding any in the plethora of model output here.
We will continue to mention a few isolated showers on Thursday and Friday as a front slips through, but with very limited moisture and no upper support, most places won't get any beneficial rain.
The weekend ahead will be dry with temperatures cooling slightly; highs in the 85 to 88 degree range, and lows between 60 and 64.
A strong upper trough will develop over eastern Canada and the northeast U.S. in the September 20-22 period (if the 12Z GFS is correct), but the upper ridge holds down here and the latest run shows very little rain.
Then, in the September 25-27 time frame a long wave trough forms over the eastern half of the nation, which has the potential to bring in some very cool air at the end of the month, but unfortunately this run shows little rain with the frontal passage.
Bottom line is that the 12Z GFS offers little hope for a big rain event for the next 15 days around here. Guess we will get a little taste of living in a desert.
TROPICS: Ole Ophelia just keeps hanging around off the coast of the Carolinas. Latest recon data shows 989 mb and max flight level winds of 70 knots as of this writing, so it is just under hurricane force. Models agree nicely now with the NHC track; the system moves over the North Carolina coast tomorrow, and then out to sea later in the week. Lots of wind and rain for the upper South Carolina, and all of the North Carolina coast and Outer Banks during the next 36 to 48 hours.
Elsewhere the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet; I guess the wave to watch is the one near 8N/20W... a long way out there but in a prime position to develop and make the journey all the way across to the Caribbean.
And, the Gulf continues to recharge after Katrina's visit a couple of weeks ago... we notice sea surface temperatures are headed back toward the upper 80s now.
Looking forward to speaking to my friends at the Bagley Jr. High PTA tonight up in the far northwest part of Jefferson county.
Also... need to mention that a code orange air quality alert is in effect for the Birmingham metro tomorrow (Wednesday) for particulate pollution...
on September 13, 2005, 6:16 pm
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