A Historic Moment (There May Be More)

I remember where I was when Allen hit 899 millibars and when Gilbert hit 892 millibars...now this...

000
WTNT63 KNHC 212351
TCUAT3
HURRICANE RITA TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
650 PM CDT WED SEP 21 2005

...RITA BECOMES THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE ON RECORD...

DROPSONDE DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT AT 623 PM CDT...2323Z...INDICATED THE CENTRAL PRESSURE HAS
FALLEN TO BELOW 899 MB...OR 26.55 INCHES. THE DROPSONDE INSTRUMENT
MEASURED 32 KT/35 MPH WINDS AT THE SURFACE...WHICH MEANS IT LIKELY
DID NOT RECORD THE LOWEST PRESSURE IN THE EYE OF RITA. THE CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS PROBABLY AT LEAST AS LOW AS 898 MB...AND PERHAPS EVEN
LOWER. FOR OFFICIAL PURPOSES... A PRESSURE OF 898 MB IS ASSUMED...
WHICH NOW MAKES RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF
PRESSURE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN. SOME ADDITIONAL DEEPENING AND
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.

RITA CURRENTLY RANKS BEHIND HURRICANE GILBERT IN 1988 WITH 888 MB
AND THE 1935 LABOR DAY HURRICANE WITH 892 MB.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

Then from the Public Advisory at 7 pm...
THE PRESSURE HAS BEEN FALLING RAPIDLY DURING THE DAY AND THE LATEST
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 898 MB...26.52 INCHES. THIS MAKES
RITA THE THIRD MOST INTENSE HURRICANE IN TERMS OF PRESSURE IN THE
ATLANTIC BASIN.

And the actual Vortex Data Message...
Vortex Data Message
-----------------------------------------------------------------
---------------


000
URNT12 KNHC 212358Z CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/2309Z-- CORRECTED
B. 24 DEG 31 MIN N
86 DEG 46 MIN W
C. 700 MB 22472 M
D. 80 KT
E. 213 DEG 24 NM
F. 305 DEG 142 KT
G. 198 DEG 11NM
H. 899 MB
I. 8 C/ 3053 M
J. 28 C/ 3042 M
K. 01 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C20
N. 12345/7
O. .02/1 NM
P. NOAA3 WX18A RITA OB 23
MAX FL WIND 161 KT NE QUAD 1932Z

A night to remember...
Posted by  
on September 21, 2005, 6:29 pm
Crazy night.....CAT 5 Historic Hurricane, plane making emergency landing on CNN in L.A. and now a tornado on the ground in Minneapolis MN.......

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Posted by   www
on September 21, 2005, 6:58 pm
Looks like the GFDL noticed this slight job to the north in its more recent run. Not a giant turn but a slight nudge to the north of the projected path. Is that something to watch seriously or watch as a side thought???

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Posted by  
on September 21, 2005, 7:10 pm
Watch the jog North, due North looks like a 90 degree turn......Presented very well on Weather Channel......

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Posted by Paul  
on September 21, 2005, 7:31 pm
I look for landfall close to the Tex/La border.

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Posted by   www
on September 21, 2005, 7:45 pm
I am getting closer and closer to believing the TX/LA border idea but of course we are looking at a slight jog to the northwest but it could be the turn that was supposed to happen tomorrow. We have not had the 'suprise' James speaks of yet. We could use the rain but it would mean sacrificing LA/MS again so that is not a good idea.

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Posted by  
on September 21, 2005, 7:46 pm
Whatever we do in tracking this storm, we need to stop and PRAY, PRAY, PRAY every time we think about this storm. Whatever your religious affiliation, PRAY. No prayer will hurt.

May God bless the people in the path of this storm and may HE bless everyone who reads this.

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Posted by   www
on September 21, 2005, 7:48 pm
I posted the landfall between Lake Charles, LA and the extreme east edge of Texas yesterday on one of the military blogs I read daily. One of the retired guys who is also a ham radio oper. had posted on his work in Miss. doing communications work, pics can be found on his personal site patriot flyer.com. I noticed the slight variation earlier today, but I suspected the low forming over TX to pull it north. Whichever way you look at it, fortunatly or unfortunatly I also pinned Katrinas strenght and landfall two days out before any national weather service. My prayers go out to all to be effected, I have good friends in Lake Charles.

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Posted by  
on September 21, 2005, 7:51 pm
YES we need to pray this storm is very bad and I think it be a 4 or 5 when it hits.

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Posted by joe  
on September 21, 2005, 7:56 pm
dont know what your eyes are seeing. The storm is headed just north of due west, northwest at best. dont start to panic guys. Looks like the track is still close to the originial.

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Posted by Josh  
on September 21, 2005, 8:01 pm
Yes, Hurricanes tend to wobble somewhat in their tracks. These wobbles don't change the track much most of the time. maybe 40-50 miles give or take.

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Posted by  
on September 21, 2005, 8:06 pm
Whats really disturbing is the fact that there hasnt been ONE eyewall recycle. Hopefully that will come soon and weakening will occur.

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Posted by Jason  
on September 21, 2005, 8:10 pm
When Katrina's track was west of the Alabama coast alot of people over reacted to every wobble north or northeast.

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Posted by  
on September 21, 2005, 8:49 pm
NHC is moving track more EAST at 10:00 PM briefing....Near Galveston..

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