Watching The Front

The Wednesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Interesting to note a few isolated showers have broken out this afternoon over east Alabama. We will continue to mention isolated showers tonight and tomorrow morning in advance of the long awaited cold front. Winds will pick up out of the north during the day tomorrow, and most places won't see 80 degrees as cooler air moves into the state. Any showers should be over by midday as the dry air takes over.

Unfortunately, this won't be a long term cool spell. After lows in the 47 to 55 range Friday morning, we warm back up over the weekend with low to mid 80s on Saturday and Sunday. For now we will maintain a dry forecast over the weekend, but humidity values will be little higher.

Next week, looks like most of the short wave energy will be shunted well to the north of Alabama, so temperatures during the day will stay a little above normal for early October. And, there seems to be no significant chance of rain through much of next week.

LONG RANGE: The 12Z run shows a wild looking deep upper low over the southeast U.S. toward mid-month, part of a long wave trough over the eastern half of the nation. Sounds nice, but I am not sure that will happen.

TROPICS: The system in the Caribbean should be tropical storm Stan within the next 36 hours. Seems like this one is headed for the Yucatan peninsula, and then toward the Mexican Gulf coast somewhere south of Brownsville, Texas. Can't rule out some trouble for the far south Texas coast, however. Once this thing gets its act together we will have a better idea on the final destination.

We will also be watching for development off the southeast U.S. coast this weekend; some model runs develop a tropical system here and move it toward the Carolinas by the middle of next week.

ON THE ROAD: Off to Oxford for severe weather awareness day at Quintard Mall. I will be doing the weather live there at 5:00 and 6:00... drop by if you have a few minutes. Brian Peters and Jason Simpson are also there; Mr. Oldshue will be here in the office for the rest of the afternoon.