The Thursday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
As I write this our long awaited cold front is near the northwest corner of Alabama. The band of showers and storms fell apart during the night as expected, and most of the showers ahead of the front are over east Tennessee with nothing on the southern end.
We will still mention isolated showers this morning until the front passes through. For the Birmingham metro, the front should blow through sometime between 10:00 and noon... and then watch the dewpoints drop. As I write this around 5:30 a.m., the dewpoint is 70 in Birmingham, but 45 at Harrison, Arkansas behind the front.
TOMORROW MORNING: Our forecast package has 54, the NAM has 54, and the GFS 55. Pretty decent agreement. This also means the cooler valleys should dip their toes into the upper 40s for the first time since early May.
Tomorrow should be a beautiful day with a sunny sky, very low humidity,and comfortable temperatures.
WEEKEND: Our cool snap won't last long as dewpoints rise again over the weekend and humidity levels come up. A short wave will pass north of the state Saturday, and I guess an isolated shower is not out of the question, but the chance looks so small at this point it really isn't worth mentioning in the forecast. Sunday looks dry, and on both days temperatures should reach the mid 80s.
LONG RANGE: Looks like another cool front comes in here toward the end of next week; not much rain but another shot of cooler air follows the front. And, the GFS is advertising a nice trough over the eastern U.S. in the October 12-14 time frame which might bring the coolest air so far this season.
TROPICS: The wave in the Caribbean is still having a hard time getting its act together. Models still move this system across the Yucatan, and ultimately into the Mexican coast well south of Brownville, TX. I still think this becomes tropical storm Stan along the way, but no issue for the central Gulf coast.
Headed out to see the kids at Bluff Park Elementary School today... will be back in the office for the next map discussion video to be posted by 3:30...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
As I write this our long awaited cold front is near the northwest corner of Alabama. The band of showers and storms fell apart during the night as expected, and most of the showers ahead of the front are over east Tennessee with nothing on the southern end.
We will still mention isolated showers this morning until the front passes through. For the Birmingham metro, the front should blow through sometime between 10:00 and noon... and then watch the dewpoints drop. As I write this around 5:30 a.m., the dewpoint is 70 in Birmingham, but 45 at Harrison, Arkansas behind the front.
TOMORROW MORNING: Our forecast package has 54, the NAM has 54, and the GFS 55. Pretty decent agreement. This also means the cooler valleys should dip their toes into the upper 40s for the first time since early May.
Tomorrow should be a beautiful day with a sunny sky, very low humidity,and comfortable temperatures.
WEEKEND: Our cool snap won't last long as dewpoints rise again over the weekend and humidity levels come up. A short wave will pass north of the state Saturday, and I guess an isolated shower is not out of the question, but the chance looks so small at this point it really isn't worth mentioning in the forecast. Sunday looks dry, and on both days temperatures should reach the mid 80s.
LONG RANGE: Looks like another cool front comes in here toward the end of next week; not much rain but another shot of cooler air follows the front. And, the GFS is advertising a nice trough over the eastern U.S. in the October 12-14 time frame which might bring the coolest air so far this season.
TROPICS: The wave in the Caribbean is still having a hard time getting its act together. Models still move this system across the Yucatan, and ultimately into the Mexican coast well south of Brownville, TX. I still think this becomes tropical storm Stan along the way, but no issue for the central Gulf coast.
Headed out to see the kids at Bluff Park Elementary School today... will be back in the office for the next map discussion video to be posted by 3:30...
on September 29, 2005, 6:06 am
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on September 29, 2005, 7:06 am
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