The Thursday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
The cold front has come on through. The dewpoint in Muscle Shoals is down to 51, and Birmingham's dewpoint at this time is 64 and dropping.
Most places will be in the 50s by daybreak tomorrow. Not exactly sweater or jacket weather, but it is a start for fall weather fans. Model guidance is up a little... showing mostly upper 50s. Most places should be between 55 and 59, with cooler valleys closer to 50. I fully expect a few spots to dip their toe into the upper 40s.
Nice day tomorrow with ample sunshine and low humidity. The high should be in the low 80s.
Unfortunately this "cool snap" won't last long.
WEEKEND: A slight risk of a shower is in order for Saturday with a short wave passing to the north of the state, but showers should be very isolated if they form. I think Sunday is dry based on the latest model output. Afternoons will be warm, with mid 80s on both days.
NEXT WEEK: The first half of the week should be warm and dry. An approaching cold front should trigger a few showers by Thursday and Friday... not sure that front will have enough southward push to make it all the way through Alabama.
LONG RANGE: The GFS continues to advertise a nice eastern U.S. trough in the October 12-14 time frame; that looks like a good cool-down for much of the deep south. Maybe that one will get us down in the 40s.
TROPICS: No tropical depression in the caribbean yet... read Brian's post below. If something does develop there (and I still think it happens), it seems to be headed for the Yucatan and then on to the Mexican Gulf coast. No problem for the central Gulf coast.
Great audience today at Bluff Park Elementary School... sure enjoyed the visit and the fun time in the lunch room. Have to run to a 3:00 meeting for which I am 7 minutes late!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
The cold front has come on through. The dewpoint in Muscle Shoals is down to 51, and Birmingham's dewpoint at this time is 64 and dropping.
Most places will be in the 50s by daybreak tomorrow. Not exactly sweater or jacket weather, but it is a start for fall weather fans. Model guidance is up a little... showing mostly upper 50s. Most places should be between 55 and 59, with cooler valleys closer to 50. I fully expect a few spots to dip their toe into the upper 40s.
Nice day tomorrow with ample sunshine and low humidity. The high should be in the low 80s.
Unfortunately this "cool snap" won't last long.
WEEKEND: A slight risk of a shower is in order for Saturday with a short wave passing to the north of the state, but showers should be very isolated if they form. I think Sunday is dry based on the latest model output. Afternoons will be warm, with mid 80s on both days.
NEXT WEEK: The first half of the week should be warm and dry. An approaching cold front should trigger a few showers by Thursday and Friday... not sure that front will have enough southward push to make it all the way through Alabama.
LONG RANGE: The GFS continues to advertise a nice eastern U.S. trough in the October 12-14 time frame; that looks like a good cool-down for much of the deep south. Maybe that one will get us down in the 40s.
TROPICS: No tropical depression in the caribbean yet... read Brian's post below. If something does develop there (and I still think it happens), it seems to be headed for the Yucatan and then on to the Mexican Gulf coast. No problem for the central Gulf coast.
Great audience today at Bluff Park Elementary School... sure enjoyed the visit and the fun time in the lunch room. Have to run to a 3:00 meeting for which I am 7 minutes late!