A Wet Weekend Ahead

The ole morning video update is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Sprinkles are very hard to find here this morning; looks like most of the rain will be over Tennessee. The sun should break out later today with temperatures back into the 60s later today.

Here are some upcoming attractions:

*Cooler air returns tomorrow and Friday. A big surface high moves from the Great Lakes to Pennsylvania, and will bring a wedge of cold air down the backbone of the mountains Friday and Saturday. This will play havoc with temperature forecasts; at midday Saturday Heflin might be 39 while Tuscaloosa is closer to 52.

*Rain moves in here late Friday night and the latest run of the GFS suggests the rain will continue through much of the day Saturday. I don't think the wedge of cold air will be strong enough for any freezing rain over east Alabama, but our friends over in Georgia might have a little ice Saturday morning.

*Any break in the rain Saturday night will be brief. A deep trough over the southwest U.S. lifts out and rain returns on Sunday. This one has the potential to bring some beneficial rain to the state, and maybe even some strong to severe thunderstorms on Monday. The 06Z run of the GFS speeds the system up and has the rain and storms out of here by midday Monday, but this might be too fast. Dynamics will be very good, but thermodynamics rather marginal for severe weather on Monday.

*February 5-15: Still looks pretty cold. Maybe real cold. NAO and AO spike negative; a polar vortex sets up over the Great Lakes. Details are very, very muddy as you expect in any outlook beyond seven days. Latest GFS suggests the Feb 3-4 system will stay to the south of us, over the Gulf. And, beyond that a few clippers move through the deep eastern trough.

See the video for the maps and details!
Posted by  
on January 26, 2005, 2:45 pm
Hi,
I am just wondering if you have nothiced any shift in movement at all with the early February Gulf of Mexico storm. Have all of the computer models continued to keep this storm far enough to the South to keep us from having any problems?
Thanks! You are all the greatest at the weather in Alabama, and I want to commend you for that.
Brandon

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