Mixture of Weather Concerns

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Computer up and rebooted on it's own this morning, so running a little behind in getting the video uploaded. Bear with me.

Three days beyond the end of hurricane season and Hurricane Epsilon is still going strong in the Atlantic. This just adds to the record-breaking nature of the 2005 hurricane season. Epsilon should become extratropical in the next couple of days.

Closer to home, we have a wet couple of days in store for us plus turning sharply colder. And there is a threat of severe weather. Bill Murray just posted below some thoughts on the severe weather threat so I won't duplicate that here. Main threat appears to be damaging wind though a small area from Northeast Mississippi into Northwest Alabama may see a tornado threat due to good low level shear.

Rain should be fairly generous with 1 to 2 inches for almost everyone. Sure can use it in light of the deficit we have. And it looks like the pattern of wet weather may be with us through the first half of December.

Cold front drops into Central Alabama tomorrow and a low forms in the northwest Gulf and rides up the front across Southeast Alabama and Central Georgia. Cold air pours in behind the system late Monday and Tuesday as the atmosphere dries out. Always possible with these systems to see flurries but all too often the moisture leaves just ahead of the cold air so flurries is all we can usually expect.

Model differences make it difficult to give a confident forecast for the end of the week. GFS is now forecasting a strong high pressure system that will suppress any Gulf low development too far south to affect us. But this is definitely one of those where you need to stay tuned as we get closer to the event.

So wet Sunday and Monday and much colder into the middle of the week. Hope you have a great weekend. Looking forward to driving the Storm Chaser in the Helena Christmas parade this afternoon.

-Brian-