Late Afternoon Note

December 13, 2005, 4:38 pm
Posted by James Spann in Weather Discussions
Rating: 0/5   Votes : 0
The 18Z run of the GFS is in... and HOPE is back in a big way. A major storm Tuesday of next week now is back on the GFS in the northern Gulf with winter storm potential for PARTS of the deep south. Way to early to be specific... but Hope is NOT lost! This is the solution I expect. And, expect more model flips and flops in the days ahead, but we stay the course.

More later...
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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 4:48 pm
Well Well Well we just get something after all, let's not give up on hope just yet.

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Posted by Josh  
on December 13, 2005, 4:53 pm
I like this:
http://headlines.accuweather.com/news-story.asp?partner=telegraph
&
myadc=0&traveler=1&article=4

Here is the threat James is talking about:
TUS 12-20-05 12:00PM Afternoon:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/ima
ges/gfs_slp_168s.gif
TUS 12-20-05 6:00PM evening:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/ima
ges/gfs_slp_174s.gif
WED 12-21-05 12:00AM Tus night:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/ima
ges/gfs_slp_180s.gif
WED 12-21-05 12:00PM afternoon:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/ima
ges/gfs_slp_192s.gif

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 5:08 pm
Whoa Nelly!!! Very interesting setup. And lucky me! I have to work on Tuesday. Bring it on...I am ready!

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 5:11 pm
YEEEEE HAAAAAA!! Where's Greggie??

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Posted by   www
on December 13, 2005, 5:17 pm
I'll be happy to some snowflakes this weekend. I'll pass out if we get an inch of snow next week before christmas. There is hope.......or some sort!!!

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Posted by   www
on December 13, 2005, 5:44 pm
Yippeeeeeeeee!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Snow baby snow. We just flushed ice cubes down the toilet and we're sleeping with spoons under our pillows with our pjs on backwards!!!!!!!!!!!

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Posted by Josh  
on December 13, 2005, 5:46 pm
Here is a Graphic I made for HOPE's setup for Tuesday:
http://www.geocities.com/alabamaweather/hopejpg.jpg

As you can see cold air will be in place behind the Low and could bring some wintery precipitation to parts of the south.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 6:05 pm
cool graphics josh!! thanks!!

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 6:05 pm
cool graphics josh!! thanks!!

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Posted by Josh  
on December 13, 2005, 6:09 pm
Here is 192 hour Precip from the GFS for next week.
Note: this is far out for accurate predictions but it's still fun to look at:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/etapll8day.conus/east.av
n.ptype192.gif

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Posted by New Mike  
on December 13, 2005, 6:24 pm
Josh, your link above doesn't work anymore...

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Posted by New Mike  
on December 13, 2005, 6:26 pm
Sorry Josh, your Geocities link... My bad..

http://www.geocities.com/alabamaweather/hopejpg.jpg

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Posted by Josh  
on December 13, 2005, 6:28 pm
Yeah I know, data transfer problem, too many people clicking on it.



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Posted by Brandon  
on December 13, 2005, 6:32 pm
Steph your dance seems to be working! Keep it up!

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Posted by Tammy N Ttown  
on December 13, 2005, 6:56 pm
I didnt get to see the web update today i have cable at work and dial up at home so i had to just read the blog but the other day it was showing around xmas it was gonna be warmer is that still true and if so could that be setting the stage for stormy weather...if someone could check that out for me

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 7:01 pm
Here's flip-flop one. I'll bet the model picture Sunday looks NOTHING SIMILAR to what it does today.

Nevertheless, despite my innate skepticism and a 97% historical disappointment rate.... I will still keep an opened mind.

Anyway, I sure hope it happens.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 7:51 pm
We have had winters like this for the past 3 years and James Spann will tell you that there is a chance that will snow just to up the ratings. TV is all about the RATINGS.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 8:02 pm
i hate warm weather on christmas, i would at least like for it to be cold, and snow on or before christmas would be wonderful.

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Posted by John T.  
on December 13, 2005, 8:10 pm
I just love the naming of the storms James. Thats neat. Oh, and during the Spring time James, I hope you are not talking & teaching us about tornados just to make us watch tv and put your ratings up, even though we may or may not have them to occur. Can you all read between the lines for the sarcasism in this for one of the above notes? (is this why you want me to do the talking at the Galleria Rusty? I can put away some hot chocalate.) Rusty, you are one of the greatest buddy.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 8:39 pm
JOhn T , my man, you are one in the same. I dont know if i would be happier to get out in the dnow for a live shot, or just have the chance to meet everyone...

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 8:18 pm
Ok people I want snow next week because we have a person out of work and it is just the two of us and we want some time off working 6 days with only one off day gets old real fast.

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Posted by GREG  
on December 13, 2005, 8:19 pm
Hey guys, I have no clue why James is so excited on one model run. AND>>>> it dosen't even look that promising. I know its not going to snow next Tuesday in Birmingham, but Im not going to bet the house on it... BUT..... mabey my car??

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Posted by Jason  
on December 13, 2005, 8:23 pm
Hey Steve it's not even Winter yet get your facts straight. Oh and quit making up stuff.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 8:29 pm
he did call the storm "hope". so i hope that model run is right. i would want some snow here. i live in Tuscaloosa and the last snow "storm" we had here was just enough to get the grass white at night, it was all gone by in the morning

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Posted by mark  
on December 13, 2005, 8:41 pm
we know greg, you don't have a clue.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 8:57 pm
Ok people , lets calm sown at look at this with some logic...

Now first of all , we all know that it is not likely that we will se a big snow storm, because of Climatology here in the south, however, neither was last years Hurricane Season, yet we were amazed at the curve ball mother nature threw at us there... Now we can bicker , and argue about the weather..whether or not it will do anything... Now Josh you have done a great job with all your postings... A+ for you .... Greg, Andy, thanks for keeping our feet on the ground, stephanie, thanks to you and Michael for all the dancing..Dave get the pot of Chilli ready, I believe IWIWAM has doubled over the past week or so..... Steve, thanks for , well giving us a comedy relief..... Like James would ever do anything to hipe ratings.. Come on ..we can have fun without making personal attacks..I thought we covered this in Bloggers 101.....JOhn T... Prepare those liveshot speaches... I am expecting James to call anytime now ..HAHAH not ..... and Goldwing dave..You need to get with Steph and make sure you have the right music to Play for her Dancing...

Man its getting interesting... I may just wait here for the 00 run....



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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 9:02 pm
Bloggers 101?? i must have slept through that class.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 9:13 pm
oh matthew, Im sorry...You can takeit next time it comes around , but I believe you got enough just by osmosis.....

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Posted by John T.  
on December 13, 2005, 9:24 pm
Like I said Rusty, your one of the greatest. You crack me up man. MERRY CHRISTMAS.

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Posted by  
on December 13, 2005, 9:47 pm
Hey John T I second that Rusty you are GREAT Merry Christmas. Come onnnnnnnnn snow.

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