Quick Notes

Be sure and read Jason Simpson's excellent post on Climate vs. Weather below this one. Good stuff.

Just posted the new seven day forecast over on that page... I wrote the afternoon package today for J.B. Elliott who is taking the day off. He will be "back in service" later this evening.

Al, our first storm of the big three, is quite a system. The surface low shows up on the upper Texas coast.

New Orleans has surged to 75 degrees, and severe storms are possible this evening along the upper Texas and Louisiana coast. Severe storms could move to the coastal counties of Mississippi and Alabama later tonight in the warm sector.

Al will bring a soaking rain here... one to two inches are likely. Might even hear some thunder here tonight.

And, the wedge has set up just as forecast... Fort Payne is holding at 39 up in DeKalb county in the wedge... Athens, GA is at 36 and Asheville, NC reports 28. A pretty nasty ice storm is ahead tonight in the general area from the northeast tip of Georgia all the way to Pennsylvania.

I will now shift duties to the blog here and will have the new discussion on AL, BOB, and HOPE along with a new map discussion video ready by 3:30....
Posted by jlw  
on December 14, 2005, 1:29 pm
Can you explain the "wedge" and cold air damming when you get a chance? It's been mentioned a lot and I don't quite understand it.

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Posted by rusty Pitts  
on December 14, 2005, 1:57 pm

Hey ....jlw....this site is very informative... It is very detailed, but if you can follow it you will know wedge..... or as it is called... Cold air Damming.... and we are close to one of only about 9 spots on the plannet where it occurs.....

http://meted.ucar.edu/mesoprim/cad/webcast/print.htm

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Posted by  
on December 14, 2005, 2:04 pm
BMX NWS has posted this...

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND SPRINKLES ARE FORECAST FOR AREAS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 ON SATURDAY NIGHT. A FEW SNOW FLURRIES MAY
OCCASIONALLY MIX WITH THE LIQUID. NO TRAVEL PROBLEMS OR
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED.

A FEW SNOW FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH. NO TRAVEL PROBLEMS OR ACCUMULATIONS ARE
EXPECTED.

OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.



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Posted by  
on December 14, 2005, 2:15 pm
LOL. NWS took that RIGHT from the GFS latest run Margie. We'll still just have to see... I really won't get REALLY interested until I see the 18z run for this coming tuesday...ON tuesday! LOL

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Posted by stormspotterchick  
on December 14, 2005, 2:22 pm
Here's another site that actually refers to "a wedge"

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/bmx/march_1998_wedge/wedge.html

Wedges never cease to amaze me! On one side the temp can easily be 20 degrees warmer/colder than the other OR it may be snowing on one side and having thunderstorms on the other....

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Posted by  
on December 14, 2005, 2:29 pm
Andy, my husband is a lot like you, doesn't want to get his hopes up too high in case he is disappointed. I remember as a child (yes I still do this too!!) when it was "supposed" to snow, I would count on waking up to a magical, sparkling white morning with no school, a day of fun in the snow. Because this is Alabama, very rarely did this happen!! While the disapointments are still there, I know in the back of my mind there is still the "it will happen one day" concept. It is still fun (for me anyways) to speculate, and "HOPE" for that magical day to come :-)

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Posted by  
on December 14, 2005, 2:31 pm
I fill the same way Stephanie.

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Posted by Crisco  
on December 14, 2005, 2:40 pm
HOPE is a four-letter word.

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Posted by  
on December 14, 2005, 2:40 pm
Michael,

It is the child in all of us I think :-P

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Posted by  
on December 14, 2005, 2:47 pm
I can't wait to give my son his first snowball to the back of the head! I hope he's not 30 when I get to do it. (He's 7 now!)

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Posted by rusty Pitts  
on December 14, 2005, 4:55 pm
Chris...You are a man after my own heart....My sons are 7 and 4..my oldest has seen snow before, not my 4 year old..... but I am going to get dalton , and get him good...Its a revenge thing.... He just runs around the house laughing at me about not being ablt to play ncaa2006 with him...he always runs the score up on me....But hey ...I can throw a lot harder than him...I may put a rock in the snowball... He hasnt learned that trick..... HAHAHAHAHAH ...JK.... anyone wanting to call child protective services...I am just kidding....

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Posted by John T.  
on December 14, 2005, 6:36 pm
Your good crisco.

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