It's always amazing what a little sunshine will do. At early afternoon, central Alabama is enjoying full sun while residents of northwest Alabama are experiencing some cirrus clouds and low clouds have been especially slow to clear the southeast corner of the state. The result looked something like this:
lower 50s across the Tennessee Valley
mid and upper 50s in central Alabama (Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Montgomery)
around 60 in southwest Alabama
around 50 (under the low clouds) in southeast Alabama
The latest 12Z GFS model run continued to forecast a dry and cool pattern for Alabama through mid-week as surface high pressure settles into Texas. With the high centered just to our west we should see good radiational cooling on Tuesday and Wednesday morning. A moderation in temperatures occurs toward the end of the week as the surface high migrates eastward. Still looks like moisture will increase late Friday and into Saturday with a cold front coming through Alabama on Christmas day with chances for rain and a reinforcing shot of cold air. The 12Z run even suggests some wrap-around snow flurries which does not usually result in any kind of signficant or measurable snow.
After another couple of days of moderating temperatures, the GFS has some interesting developments toward the last couple of days of 2006. But we all know that we really can't put much faith in model projections that far out. So we'll just watch those trends and see if we can conjure up the right recipe for some winter weather as we enter 2006.
-Brian-
lower 50s across the Tennessee Valley
mid and upper 50s in central Alabama (Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Montgomery)
around 60 in southwest Alabama
around 50 (under the low clouds) in southeast Alabama
The latest 12Z GFS model run continued to forecast a dry and cool pattern for Alabama through mid-week as surface high pressure settles into Texas. With the high centered just to our west we should see good radiational cooling on Tuesday and Wednesday morning. A moderation in temperatures occurs toward the end of the week as the surface high migrates eastward. Still looks like moisture will increase late Friday and into Saturday with a cold front coming through Alabama on Christmas day with chances for rain and a reinforcing shot of cold air. The 12Z run even suggests some wrap-around snow flurries which does not usually result in any kind of signficant or measurable snow.
After another couple of days of moderating temperatures, the GFS has some interesting developments toward the last couple of days of 2006. But we all know that we really can't put much faith in model projections that far out. So we'll just watch those trends and see if we can conjure up the right recipe for some winter weather as we enter 2006.
-Brian-
on December 18, 2005, 5:35 pm
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on December 18, 2005, 6:28 pm
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