The Friday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
See J.B.'s post below for lows this morning... had several places in the mid teens as the GFS MOS was trying to forecast a low of 30! I know I probably bash the MOS products too much here, but I am just trying to remind young forecasters MOS products in winter time stink a large percentage of the time. Toss em out and use your common sense.
CHRISTMAS WEEKEND SYSTEM: If this were March, I would be greatly concerned about severe weather tomorrow evening. But, this is December and the air should be too stable for any serious threat of severe storms. I do think we hear thunder thanks to a very cold core upper trough. Rainfall amounts to one-half inch are likely, and some spots might get up to one inch of rain. Looks like the best chance of rain and thunderstorms will come from about 12 noon through 12 midnight tomorrow.
Christmas day will be chilly with temperatures holding in the 40s all day with clouds. A little light drizzle is possible Sunday morning. And, you can't ignore those cold temperatures aloft which bring thickness values way down. But, with surface temperatures in the 40s you have to figure most of the snow flakes will melt on the way down if they do form. Best chance of seeing a snow flake Sunday will be on Lookout Mountain in northeast Alabama above 1,000 feet.
NEXT WEEK: A very similar system will move through here Wednesday of next week. Plenty of upper support, but the air will probably be too stable for a big severe weather threat. And, the air will probably be too warm for snow flakes to reach the ground as the upper trough swings through.
Thanks to those of you who listened to us on WZZK-FM this morning... that was a very special show I enjoyed much. We all are guilty of not understandind how blessed we really are. Thanks to Matthew Seals and Beth Beck for coming on the air with me and sharing their stories. Both of their families will sure be in my prayers. You can access Madison Beck's web site here.
Have a very merry and meaningful Christmas. I will be back in the saddle Monday January 2, 2006... Brian Peters, J.B. Elliott, Jason Simpson, Bill Murray and John Oldshue will be handling the web, radio, and TV duties while I am away. God bless all of you.
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
See J.B.'s post below for lows this morning... had several places in the mid teens as the GFS MOS was trying to forecast a low of 30! I know I probably bash the MOS products too much here, but I am just trying to remind young forecasters MOS products in winter time stink a large percentage of the time. Toss em out and use your common sense.
CHRISTMAS WEEKEND SYSTEM: If this were March, I would be greatly concerned about severe weather tomorrow evening. But, this is December and the air should be too stable for any serious threat of severe storms. I do think we hear thunder thanks to a very cold core upper trough. Rainfall amounts to one-half inch are likely, and some spots might get up to one inch of rain. Looks like the best chance of rain and thunderstorms will come from about 12 noon through 12 midnight tomorrow.
Christmas day will be chilly with temperatures holding in the 40s all day with clouds. A little light drizzle is possible Sunday morning. And, you can't ignore those cold temperatures aloft which bring thickness values way down. But, with surface temperatures in the 40s you have to figure most of the snow flakes will melt on the way down if they do form. Best chance of seeing a snow flake Sunday will be on Lookout Mountain in northeast Alabama above 1,000 feet.
NEXT WEEK: A very similar system will move through here Wednesday of next week. Plenty of upper support, but the air will probably be too stable for a big severe weather threat. And, the air will probably be too warm for snow flakes to reach the ground as the upper trough swings through.
Thanks to those of you who listened to us on WZZK-FM this morning... that was a very special show I enjoyed much. We all are guilty of not understandind how blessed we really are. Thanks to Matthew Seals and Beth Beck for coming on the air with me and sharing their stories. Both of their families will sure be in my prayers. You can access Madison Beck's web site here.
Have a very merry and meaningful Christmas. I will be back in the saddle Monday January 2, 2006... Brian Peters, J.B. Elliott, Jason Simpson, Bill Murray and John Oldshue will be handling the web, radio, and TV duties while I am away. God bless all of you.
on December 23, 2005, 2:14 pm
Hope you have a safe and blessed Christmas, my friend. Thanks again!!
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