Warm Weather Weekend Shaping Up

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Dense fog this morning across Central Alabama with the temperature/dewpoint spread at zero. Fog should burn of toward mid-morning. Cold front came through during the early morning hours much as was forecast.

With no real change to the air mass, temperatures should be around 60 degrees today. A warm front should move northward on Sunday with a small chance for a shower and a few clouds but temperatures will climb into the mid and upper 60s. Some locations south of Birmingham area likely to push the 70-degree mark. With the return of southerly flow, moisture will climb, too, setting the stage for a severe weather outbreak on Monday.

The Storm Prediction Center has outlooked Georgia and a small sliver of eastern Alabama for a moderate risk of severe weather for Monday. A capping inversion is likely to limit severe weather development early Monday until the trough gets a bit closer and can assist with some greater upward ascent. Wind profiles also suggest the possibility of long lived supercells with hail, damaging wind and tornadoes. Timing of the event will be the key to whether we experience severe weather in Central Alabama or the severe weather develops a bit further east. Definitely a stay tuned situation.

That weather system moves east of us Tuesday but again no major change in the air mass for Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the lower 60s. That changes toward the end of the week as the east coast trough sharpens up and we should see a return to colder conditions. Temperatures by the end of the week are likely to be back below normal. The front on Wednesday will probably come through dry for most of us.

Hope you have a great weekend and enjoy this unusually warm end to December and 2005.

-Brian-