Rain, Then Cold

The Wednesday morning web video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Thanks to the huge crowd that came out to the Storm Alert 2005 show last night in Northport... we ran out of seats and lots of people stood through the entire show. Next week we will be up in Cullman county at Hanceville at Wallace State Community College on Thursday night... February 17.

Here are the coming attractions:

*WET TODAY: A good soaking with another one to two inches of rain likely. This will continue to help reduce the rain deficit. We still need about three to three and a half inches to get back to normal levels for 2005. Maybe a little thunder later today, but no severe weather.

*COLD TOMORROW: Tomorrow will be windy and cold. The guidance continues to show lower temperatures, and I think we will have a hard time reaching the mid 40s. Northeast Alabama could stay in the 30s much of the day, and I would not be shocked to see some morning snow flurries up on Lookout Mountain. We will have a hard freeze Friday morning with most places dropping into the 20 to 25 degree range, with upper teens for the colder valleys. And, a big blizzard cranks up over eastern New England.

*RAIN AGAIN BY SUNDAY: Another good rain events sets up in the Sunday-Monday time frame, with one to two inches likely.

*SPLIT FLOW NEXT WEEK: The European model is advertising much colder air in here by the middle of next week thanks to a deep trough in the northern branch, and the southern branch keeps cranking out the storms. Makes you go HMMMMMMM. I get the idea we will have a difficult forecast period on our hands beyond seven days. See the video for details.

Headed up to Cherokee county today to see the kids at Centre Elemenatry school. Be back in the office by early afternoon for the next update and the blog post...

Fun to read J.B.'s post below this one. I know his story but it was great to read the background of the greatest weather legend in Birmingham!
Posted by  
on February 9, 2005, 9:43 am
Hey James I saw your video today and the pattern lookes interesting. But I can't help but think as long as the southern jet is over us it will not let the cold air get down here. Look back in December what happened the southern jet was way down south and the ridge was out west and it got cold. I have watched the weather this winter and it seems like when the southern jet is here we stay warm and wet. And when it goes south we will get cold but dry. But I am not knocking your forecast it is nice to have someone in the weather office that cares.

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Posted by  
on February 9, 2005, 10:06 am
Well, that is true. but the NAO hasn't spiked this negative all winter long. It will be fun though to see who wins, the arctic air or the southern jet. It certainly will be very interesting forecasting conditions in the 10-15 day time frame.

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Posted by  
on February 9, 2005, 11:09 am
Hey Brandon the pattern will be interesting even if the NAO is spiking negative I can,t help but think as long as the southern jet is here it will stay warm and wet I would to see snow before spring.

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