The Tuesday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
"Little darling, it’s been a long cold lonely winter
Little darling, it feels like years since it’s been here
Here comes the sun, here comes the sun
And I say it’s all right"
The northern half of Alabama will enjoy returning sunshine today. We still have some leftover fog and low clouds in some areas, but those should dissipate soon.
Maps today show a ULL (upper level low) south of San Diego, and a strong clipper moving across the Great Lakes. That clipper will carve out a cold trough over the northeast U.S. tomorrow, and will drive colder air down this way. The new guidance is now suggesting highs only in the 50 to 55 degree range tomorrow, and temperatures down in the 20s by Thursday morning. The air stays dry and we will have no rain here through Friday.
WEEKEND: The 06Z GFS is more aggressive with the weekend storm system. It shows a strong, negative tilt upper trough over Missouri and Arkansas, and if this solution is correct it will bring the risk of heavy rain to the state Saturday night and Sunday. And, maybe even some severe weather. As always in January, the amount of instability will be an issue... but even with marginal instability issues will have to watch for strong to severe thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts of one to two inches look likely.
We should note it looks like much of the day Saturday will be dry before the system moves in here.
LONG RANGE: The nation should be much colder as February begins, as noted here over the last week or so. Sure looks interesting; the GFS likes the idea of cold air flooding much of the nation, with an active southern stream undercutting the cold air. If this is correct, most likely there will be multiple winter storm threats somewhere across the Deep South. Alabama? Maybe. I can't imagine us not having at least one threat in this kind of pattern. Hang on and stay tuned.
TODAY: Headed down to West Alabama today to see the kids at Myrtlewood Elementary in Fosters, which is about 10 miles southwest of Tuscaloosa just below the Black Warrior River. FYI... The name Myrtlewood was chosen because of the many crepe myrtles growing in the three communities served by the school, Fosters, Ralph, and Romulus.
I will be back in time to get the afternoon map discussion video posted by 3:30....
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
"Little darling, it’s been a long cold lonely winter
Little darling, it feels like years since it’s been here
Here comes the sun, here comes the sun
And I say it’s all right"
The northern half of Alabama will enjoy returning sunshine today. We still have some leftover fog and low clouds in some areas, but those should dissipate soon.
Maps today show a ULL (upper level low) south of San Diego, and a strong clipper moving across the Great Lakes. That clipper will carve out a cold trough over the northeast U.S. tomorrow, and will drive colder air down this way. The new guidance is now suggesting highs only in the 50 to 55 degree range tomorrow, and temperatures down in the 20s by Thursday morning. The air stays dry and we will have no rain here through Friday.
WEEKEND: The 06Z GFS is more aggressive with the weekend storm system. It shows a strong, negative tilt upper trough over Missouri and Arkansas, and if this solution is correct it will bring the risk of heavy rain to the state Saturday night and Sunday. And, maybe even some severe weather. As always in January, the amount of instability will be an issue... but even with marginal instability issues will have to watch for strong to severe thunderstorms. Rainfall amounts of one to two inches look likely.
We should note it looks like much of the day Saturday will be dry before the system moves in here.
LONG RANGE: The nation should be much colder as February begins, as noted here over the last week or so. Sure looks interesting; the GFS likes the idea of cold air flooding much of the nation, with an active southern stream undercutting the cold air. If this is correct, most likely there will be multiple winter storm threats somewhere across the Deep South. Alabama? Maybe. I can't imagine us not having at least one threat in this kind of pattern. Hang on and stay tuned.
TODAY: Headed down to West Alabama today to see the kids at Myrtlewood Elementary in Fosters, which is about 10 miles southwest of Tuscaloosa just below the Black Warrior River. FYI... The name Myrtlewood was chosen because of the many crepe myrtles growing in the three communities served by the school, Fosters, Ralph, and Romulus.
I will be back in time to get the afternoon map discussion video posted by 3:30....
on January 24, 2006, 6:06 am
Reply to this comment