The Wednesday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some very interesting days are ahead in the weather office... our highlights today include a Sunday severe weather threat, and the long awaited February chill.
But first... we will go through a dry and cool mid-week period. The cold upper trough over the northeast U.S. will bring cooler down this way; highs will be in the 50s today and tomorrow, and most folks will be down in the 20s by daybreak tomorrow.
WEEKEND STORM SYSTEM: The latest run (06Z) of the GFS keeps Saturday dry, and brings in a band of rain and storms Sunday afternoon. I continue to believe we will have the dual threat of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms. The model runs a deepening surface low from near Greenville, MS on Sunday to near Cleveland, OH Monday. As usual in January, the degree of instability and CAPE is the big issue. I am beginning to think we will have enough positive CAPE for the threat of severe weather here, and for the moment it looks like the main window will come from about 2:00 Sunday afternoon through 10:00 Sunday night. I can only hope we do not have tornado warnings during "Desperate Housewives". If that is the case, I might have to leave the country for a few years.
Colder air moves in following the storm early next week...
FEBRUARY: Sure looks cold and unsettled. I know you are probably getting tired of me stating this, but the western Canada ridge showing on the 06Z GFS is amazing. 500 hPA heights rise to 5820 meters over British Columbia...
And, for the snow fans, check out today's video to see the storm the 06Z run spits out at 276 hours (February 5). No, I am not saying this will happen. That is all voo-doo. But, I am saying it COULD happen. We will have a memorable month I believe. Cold weather fans and winter storm fans should love the month, but you won't like your natural gas bill come March. Stay tuned...
TODAY: Headed over to Briarwood Christian School today for a weather program... I will be back in the office for the next map discussion video by 3:30 this afternoon!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some very interesting days are ahead in the weather office... our highlights today include a Sunday severe weather threat, and the long awaited February chill.
But first... we will go through a dry and cool mid-week period. The cold upper trough over the northeast U.S. will bring cooler down this way; highs will be in the 50s today and tomorrow, and most folks will be down in the 20s by daybreak tomorrow.
WEEKEND STORM SYSTEM: The latest run (06Z) of the GFS keeps Saturday dry, and brings in a band of rain and storms Sunday afternoon. I continue to believe we will have the dual threat of heavy rain and severe thunderstorms. The model runs a deepening surface low from near Greenville, MS on Sunday to near Cleveland, OH Monday. As usual in January, the degree of instability and CAPE is the big issue. I am beginning to think we will have enough positive CAPE for the threat of severe weather here, and for the moment it looks like the main window will come from about 2:00 Sunday afternoon through 10:00 Sunday night. I can only hope we do not have tornado warnings during "Desperate Housewives". If that is the case, I might have to leave the country for a few years.
Colder air moves in following the storm early next week...
FEBRUARY: Sure looks cold and unsettled. I know you are probably getting tired of me stating this, but the western Canada ridge showing on the 06Z GFS is amazing. 500 hPA heights rise to 5820 meters over British Columbia...
And, for the snow fans, check out today's video to see the storm the 06Z run spits out at 276 hours (February 5). No, I am not saying this will happen. That is all voo-doo. But, I am saying it COULD happen. We will have a memorable month I believe. Cold weather fans and winter storm fans should love the month, but you won't like your natural gas bill come March. Stay tuned...
TODAY: Headed over to Briarwood Christian School today for a weather program... I will be back in the office for the next map discussion video by 3:30 this afternoon!
on January 25, 2006, 7:16 am
Reply to this comment