The Friday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
High clouds moved into Alabama last night and kept temperatures above freezing this morning; Birmingham reports 42 and Tuscaloosa 44 as I write this. Today will be partly sunny with afternoon temperatures reaching the low 60s in most areas. The air near the surface remains bone dry.
THE WEEKEND: The GFS is advertising the main window for rain and thunderstorms from about midnight tomorrow night through 12:00 noon Sunday. No severe weather; the air is too stable and the upper support is too far north. Rain amounts of one-half to one inch look likely during that 12 hour stretch.
The new runs (00Z and 06Z) of the GFS are drier and faster with the trailing upper wave. Showers are still possible Sunday night into early Monday, but amounts now look light and spotty. Best chance of a shower with the trailing wave now actually seems to be from about midnight Sunday night through 6:00 Monday morning. Then, a quick shot of colder air works in here Monday afternoon and Monday night.
Monday might be a day with falling temperatures. We will raise the numbers a little Tuesday afternoon with the models speeding things up a tad.... but Tuesday and Wednesday morning of next week look pretty cold with the potential for a decent freeze.
ALASKA WATCH: Read em and weep:
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=AK&prodtype=hourly
Fairbanks shows 49 below zero on the hourly observation as I write this. Mercy me.
The big question, of course, is just how much of that cold air moves into the "lower 48" in February. Time will tell, but you have to figure much of the nation will be much colder, generally speaking, next month compared to January. The GFS continues to show the monster western Canada ridge that will tap that cold air... and an interesting southern branch underneath it all.
TODAY: I will be speaking to the Vestavia Hills Rotary Club today... I always enjoying having lunch with Rotarians... they are a great service club. I will be back in the office this afternoon for a final look at the weekend system; the afternoon video should be ready on time by 3:30.
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
High clouds moved into Alabama last night and kept temperatures above freezing this morning; Birmingham reports 42 and Tuscaloosa 44 as I write this. Today will be partly sunny with afternoon temperatures reaching the low 60s in most areas. The air near the surface remains bone dry.
THE WEEKEND: The GFS is advertising the main window for rain and thunderstorms from about midnight tomorrow night through 12:00 noon Sunday. No severe weather; the air is too stable and the upper support is too far north. Rain amounts of one-half to one inch look likely during that 12 hour stretch.
The new runs (00Z and 06Z) of the GFS are drier and faster with the trailing upper wave. Showers are still possible Sunday night into early Monday, but amounts now look light and spotty. Best chance of a shower with the trailing wave now actually seems to be from about midnight Sunday night through 6:00 Monday morning. Then, a quick shot of colder air works in here Monday afternoon and Monday night.
Monday might be a day with falling temperatures. We will raise the numbers a little Tuesday afternoon with the models speeding things up a tad.... but Tuesday and Wednesday morning of next week look pretty cold with the potential for a decent freeze.
ALASKA WATCH: Read em and weep:
http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=AK&prodtype=hourly
Fairbanks shows 49 below zero on the hourly observation as I write this. Mercy me.
The big question, of course, is just how much of that cold air moves into the "lower 48" in February. Time will tell, but you have to figure much of the nation will be much colder, generally speaking, next month compared to January. The GFS continues to show the monster western Canada ridge that will tap that cold air... and an interesting southern branch underneath it all.
TODAY: I will be speaking to the Vestavia Hills Rotary Club today... I always enjoying having lunch with Rotarians... they are a great service club. I will be back in the office this afternoon for a final look at the weekend system; the afternoon video should be ready on time by 3:30.
on January 27, 2006, 7:29 am
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on January 27, 2006, 10:56 am
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on January 27, 2006, 1:37 pm
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