Some Weekend Rain Ahead

The Friday morning map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

High clouds moved into Alabama last night and kept temperatures above freezing this morning; Birmingham reports 42 and Tuscaloosa 44 as I write this. Today will be partly sunny with afternoon temperatures reaching the low 60s in most areas. The air near the surface remains bone dry.

THE WEEKEND: The GFS is advertising the main window for rain and thunderstorms from about midnight tomorrow night through 12:00 noon Sunday. No severe weather; the air is too stable and the upper support is too far north. Rain amounts of one-half to one inch look likely during that 12 hour stretch.

The new runs (00Z and 06Z) of the GFS are drier and faster with the trailing upper wave. Showers are still possible Sunday night into early Monday, but amounts now look light and spotty. Best chance of a shower with the trailing wave now actually seems to be from about midnight Sunday night through 6:00 Monday morning. Then, a quick shot of colder air works in here Monday afternoon and Monday night.

Monday might be a day with falling temperatures. We will raise the numbers a little Tuesday afternoon with the models speeding things up a tad.... but Tuesday and Wednesday morning of next week look pretty cold with the potential for a decent freeze.

ALASKA WATCH: Read em and weep:

http://www.weather.gov/view/prodsByState.php?state=AK&prodtype=hourly

Fairbanks shows 49 below zero on the hourly observation as I write this. Mercy me.

The big question, of course, is just how much of that cold air moves into the "lower 48" in February. Time will tell, but you have to figure much of the nation will be much colder, generally speaking, next month compared to January. The GFS continues to show the monster western Canada ridge that will tap that cold air... and an interesting southern branch underneath it all.

TODAY: I will be speaking to the Vestavia Hills Rotary Club today... I always enjoying having lunch with Rotarians... they are a great service club. I will be back in the office this afternoon for a final look at the weekend system; the afternoon video should be ready on time by 3:30.
Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 7:29 am
Jeff, sorry I didn't respond to ya yesterday on the blogg, what a small world, I grew up in Wyandotte, Michigan. I love going up there also, but not in the winter!. I visit in the summer when it is 80 up there and 100 here :) Looks like February will be cold down in good ole Alabama, however, I am like everyone else we need some cold weather to get rid of the bugs!!! Start doing your snow dance again Stephanie :) Have a great day everyone.....

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 10:56 am
Cheryl do you know anyone with the last name of Dingman. My cousins went the Gabriel Richard High school. I have been on Telegraph Rd more times than I care to admit. It seems they are always working on that road. Glad you are in Alabama

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 1:37 pm
Hey Jeff, no unfortunately, I don't, I also have spent many a time on Telegraph road, and they are still always working on that road. thanks so much and I sure am proud to be in Alabama!!!

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Posted by Stephanie Honeycutt  
on January 27, 2006, 8:21 am
Hi Cheryl~~ don't worry - I have started a new apporach for my snow dancing........ ON ICE!! It is a lot easier than high heels (tee hee!!) think this will work for us in Feb??? I hope so - :)

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 8:53 am
I hope it works Stephanie I would love to see some snow :D:D Just don't fall and hurt yourself.

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 12:39 pm
Let's not wish no snowstorm. Around where I live noone knows how to drive in snow. They think they do, but don't, I know, I'm one of them :).

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 1:27 pm
Hey Wayne I don't want a big snow storm but I would love to see about 5 - 6 inches of snow.

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 1:48 pm
Hey Michael what are you talking about man 5 or 6 inches is a BIG snowstorm here in central Alabama and I hope you get your wish!! Keep the Faith!!!

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Posted by Stephanie Honeycutt  
on January 27, 2006, 1:49 pm
Aww now Wayne, you know what happens when you use a double negative in a sentence..... the opposite happens ;) A lot of people think they know how to drive in the snow, and I agree with you - most do not (including ME!! ). But what the hey - it gives a lot (sadly not everyone) of folks a much needed couple of days off!!

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Posted by  
on January 27, 2006, 1:51 pm
Hi Cheryl I thought I'd ask I know Wyandotte is a big place.

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