The Friday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
After a look at the 12Z GFS... not much reason to change the ongoing forecast for the weekend. Still looks like the best chance of rain will come from about midnight tomorrow night through 9:00 a.m. Sunday. Amounts of one inch or so are likely, and severe storms look unlikely.
I am beginning to think the sun will pop out Sunday afternoon after the rain, and if that is the case we might approach 70 degrees.
The trailing upper trough comes through Monday, and it might bring a few scattered showers between midnight Sunday night and 6:00 a.m. Monday. Moisture will be very limited and some spots might be dry during that time frame.
Then, a quick shot of cold air rolls in Monday. I think we begin the day in the low to mid 50s, but fall into the 40s by afternoon. Tuesday should be cool and dry with sunshine returning.
LONG RANGE: Again, nothing to show any change in our idea of a colder February. The monster western Canada ridge shows up by February 10, and cold air, perhaps very cold air, floods the eastern two-thirds of the nation.
The GFS continues to show a storm in the February 5-6 time frame which could bring a soaking rain, and maybe some snow to parts of the Deep South. We won't be able to be specific on that system until early next week.
Thanks to the Vestavia Rotary Club for having me today... I sure enjoyed our lunch together. Brian Peters will handle the video discussions over the weekend... my next one comes up Monday morning by 7:00 a.m. Have a great weekend and spend some quality time with your family!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
After a look at the 12Z GFS... not much reason to change the ongoing forecast for the weekend. Still looks like the best chance of rain will come from about midnight tomorrow night through 9:00 a.m. Sunday. Amounts of one inch or so are likely, and severe storms look unlikely.
I am beginning to think the sun will pop out Sunday afternoon after the rain, and if that is the case we might approach 70 degrees.
The trailing upper trough comes through Monday, and it might bring a few scattered showers between midnight Sunday night and 6:00 a.m. Monday. Moisture will be very limited and some spots might be dry during that time frame.
Then, a quick shot of cold air rolls in Monday. I think we begin the day in the low to mid 50s, but fall into the 40s by afternoon. Tuesday should be cool and dry with sunshine returning.
LONG RANGE: Again, nothing to show any change in our idea of a colder February. The monster western Canada ridge shows up by February 10, and cold air, perhaps very cold air, floods the eastern two-thirds of the nation.
The GFS continues to show a storm in the February 5-6 time frame which could bring a soaking rain, and maybe some snow to parts of the Deep South. We won't be able to be specific on that system until early next week.
Thanks to the Vestavia Rotary Club for having me today... I sure enjoyed our lunch together. Brian Peters will handle the video discussions over the weekend... my next one comes up Monday morning by 7:00 a.m. Have a great weekend and spend some quality time with your family!
on January 27, 2006, 6:12 pm
Matthew
Reply to this comment
on January 27, 2006, 8:31 pm
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/18/fp0
_228.shtml
and then dance around it daily for a few days !!!
Reply to this comment
on January 28, 2006, 6:13 am
Reply to this comment