Ice Issues This Weekend?

The Tuesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

While the short term forecast will highlight a nice warming trend, our attention is focused on the weekend, with some potential ice problems on the table.

MID-WEEK: Warmer, lots of clouds, and maybe a little drizzle in spots tomorrow. Good chance we see low 60s tomorrow. Then, we will be even warmer on Thursday. Some spots might even approach 70 degrees, and only a small risk of a shower.

While we warm-up, brutally cold air moves down into the northern U.S. Many spots in North Dakota and Montana will not reach 0 degrees on Thursday as a whopper 1056 mb high builds over the western part of Canada.

FRIDAY: The leading edge of the Arctic air moves into the Tennessee Valley late in the day, and a few showers are likely.

WEEKEND: The weekend looks cold, wet, and potentially icy for the northern half of the state. Looks like we stay in the 30s all day Saturday, while Mobile might reach 75. As discussed many times here in recent days, the cold air will be very shallow, only a few thousand feet deep. This means freezing rain could be a problem, and that, of course, can lead to ice accumulation on exposed objects and some big time headaches.

Here is the way we see it now:

Significant icing will be possible over extreme North Alabama and Tennessee during the day Saturday, continuing Saturday night and Sunday morning. Places like Huntsville, Muscle Shoals, and Nashville could see enough ice to create travel problems on bridges, and just maybe enough ice load for power outages. Ice issues might even begin Friday night. If you are traveling to the north be aware of this potential.

For the I-20 corridor, including Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, and Anniston, we expect a cold rain on Saturday with temperatures in the mid 30s. But, some light icing is possible Saturday night and Sunday morning. At the moment it does not look like enough ice for power problems, but bridge icing might lead to travel difficulties from about 6:00 p.m. Saturday through 10:00 a.m. Sunday.

Needless to say, this is a very early first call and that will probably have to be changed a bit as we get closer to the weekend.

Temperatures should rise above freezing statewide by Sunday afternoon. Monday should be warmer with more rain, and maybe even a thunderstorm or two.

Colder and drier air should then arrive by Tuesday and Wednesday of next week.

LONG RANGE: Still looking much warmer as March begins in a couple of weeks. Our thoughts will be turning to spring. But remember, that also marks the beginning of the spring tornado season in Alabama.

THANKS: The kids at Thorsby Elementary were great today; I saw the 4th, 5th, and 6th graders. Look for them on the KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News today at 5:00!

STORM ALERT 2006: Don't forget we are coming to Talladega this Thursday night; the show begins at 7:00 p.m. at the Ritz Theatre downtown on the square. Come early for a t-shirt and a good seat!

The next video will be on the server by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow...
Posted by  
on February 14, 2006, 3:59 pm
Ok James I don't want ice if anything comes I want it to be snow !)

Reply to this comment
Posted by  
on February 14, 2006, 7:06 pm
*waving STOP sign frantically and yelling "STOP!" to the Arctic front.



Reply to this comment
Posted by  
on February 14, 2006, 7:09 pm
Posted by John T.  
on February 14, 2006, 7:56 pm
The way I'm trying to look at it is , just get thru these 1 or 2 days , hopefully like James said , perhaps just some light iceing , make it past Saturday then welcome the warming trend and the start of "meteorological spring " as James puts it.......YEA BABY ! Yes , as crazy as I am about weather in general , the tornado season is my favorite . Followed suprisingly by hurricane season . I guess its about time for my 'dramatic, lap dog like self ' to get ready to kick off the action . Let the --have you lost your mind-- comments start . I dont care I'm getting pumped up for Spring .

Reply to this comment
Posted by Craig  
on February 14, 2006, 9:19 pm
John,

"Have you lost your mind!!!!?????" I'm with you on the tornado/hurricane season. I live in Fort Worth, TX and I'm waiting on a good outbreak here. We have lived here for 2 years now and severe weather has been all but non-existent. People talk about the "Texas tornadoes" all the time, but I'd be surprised if here in north texas there were near as many as in central alabama over the last say 20 years. It's always interesting. The thing about tornadoes and severe weather here is that you can almost always see it because the landscape is so flat and trees are so short!! Anyway, we'll hang in there and wait for spring. We'll hope for tornadoes but no loss of life or major property damage. Maybe we'll get a big one out in the open ranch land and not in the city.

Reply to this comment
Posted by John T.  
on February 14, 2006, 9:41 pm
Thanks Craig , I appreciate the comment . Good to know I'm not the only one that this "disease " is in the blood . What can I say , I don't smoke , or drink alcohol , never have tried ANY of those kinds of bad stuff , so this is my " rush " . And I also do not want anyone hurt or worse or any property damage done . Quick question for you ; did you say before that you are from the big city of Hueytown ? This is where I live ....just curious .

Reply to this comment
Posted by  
on February 14, 2006, 9:46 pm
I can see that you all have never been stuck in the path of a tornado. If it ever happens to you, you'll have a change of heart, and that's a fact. When you see one on the ground, then it's a bet that someone's losing something, like maybe their life.

Reply to this comment
Posted by Craig  
on February 14, 2006, 9:58 pm
Hi Mike. I actually lived in the Concord community during the Oak Grove tornado (f5) in 1998. A lot of lives were lost and a lot of destruction to people I knew personally. Also, the Tuscaloosa tornado of Dec. 2000 crossed the interstate about 1/4 of a mile in front of me as I was parked under the overpass right next to the overpass where John Oldshue got trapped in the Hampton Inn, I think it was. I truly thought it was going to kill me and those around me, but I was completely unharmed. These 2 experiences are the reason for my passion for storms. I am in awe of them, but strongly respectful of their power and potential for destruction.

Reply to this comment
Posted by John T.  
on February 14, 2006, 10:26 pm
Hey Mike , My story is the exact same as Craig's with the exception of the Tusc. situation. I was at church approx. 1 mile away from the OLD Oak Grove School . I have seen & heard all from one . So I " dido " what Craiq said . This is why I STRESS safety education , RESPECT the watches & warnings that are issued , have a tv capable of receiving the 3340 wx team & for EVERYONE to have a noaa wx radio ON in their home .

Reply to this comment
Posted by   www
on February 14, 2006, 11:14 pm
When the F4 Brent tornado took the roof from over my head and we made a dive beside an office desk the thought that was running through my head was ...
I can't believe I'm at the NOAA weather station and they don't have a storm shelter.
It was an experience that, while I'm glad I was on hand and covered the event, I never want a repeat.
I do understand the fascination with tonados. They are at once both frightening and intriguing.

I don't look forward to tornado season.

Reply to this comment
Posted by Mikey  
on February 14, 2006, 10:56 pm
We don't need ice until Monday night...Monday is a federal holiday...not being able to go to work on Tuesday would be great...a four day weekend.

Reply to this comment