The Wednesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some pretty fascinating possibilities are ahead for mid-month... but first short term weather...
TODAY: Nobody complaining about this weather. As advertised, temperatures are in the 70s this afternoon. Montgomery leading the way as I write this with 76 degrees. Not bad for the first day of March. The radar is quiet as a mouse.
TOMORROW: Another nice day; low 70s look likely. A front will slip in here tomorrow evening, but rain showers on the front should be widely spaced, and many places will remain dry.
FRIDAY/SATURDAY: Cool and dry. Temperatures will drop 10 to 15 degees, with highs close to 60. The new guidance is coming in pretty cold for Saturday morning now with low 30s as far south as Birmingham. So, be aware a light freeze seems likely early Saturday. In fact, that is now beginning to look like the coldest morning of the next seven days.
SUNDAY/MONDAY: A clipper type system will bring only isolated showers Sunday night and Monday. And, the bulk of the cold air following that system looks like it will be shunted well to the east of Alabama, so we will be revising our forecast temperatures upward for the first few days of next week.
MARCH MADNESS: The 12Z GFS shows all kinds of wild weather for mid-month. But, remember, this is in VOODOO land and all of this could change. No forecast here, just model output. But, it sure is possible....
March 9-10: A robust severe weather threat is shown for parts of Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana. This system lifts northward, and the band of storms moves into Alabama with a much lesser severe weather threat.
March 12-13: A phased, cold upper trough forms over the nation's mid-section. This could set the stage for a severe weather threat here in Alabama along with some heavy rain.
March 14-15: The upper trough axis is still west of the state, and a surface low runs from the northern Gulf to near Savannah. Cold air is entrained in the northwest part of the circulation, and there sure is some hint of a mid-March snow storm for parts of the Deep South. Before you get excited, this feature will probably be gone on the next model output. But we just throw it out there as a possibility. After all, we sure have dealt with mid-March snow storms before (anyone remember March 1993??
March 16-17: A big late season cold snap following the storm, with cold air dropping deep into the Gulf of Merxico.
Very, very interesting. I sure get the idea this is going to be a wild month in the weather office.
WEATHER BRAINS: What a great show by David Black, J.B. Elliott, and Bill Murray. I vote the "TV guys" stay off the show and let these three handle it from now on. This fifth episode of Weather Brains, our weekly 30 minute podcast, is available (free, of course) via iTunes, RSS, or here:
http://www.weatherbrains.com/
The guys discuss TV severe weather coverage, the upcoming spring tornado season, and much more. Once again, a great show.
I will have the next map discussion video on the server by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some pretty fascinating possibilities are ahead for mid-month... but first short term weather...
TODAY: Nobody complaining about this weather. As advertised, temperatures are in the 70s this afternoon. Montgomery leading the way as I write this with 76 degrees. Not bad for the first day of March. The radar is quiet as a mouse.
TOMORROW: Another nice day; low 70s look likely. A front will slip in here tomorrow evening, but rain showers on the front should be widely spaced, and many places will remain dry.
FRIDAY/SATURDAY: Cool and dry. Temperatures will drop 10 to 15 degees, with highs close to 60. The new guidance is coming in pretty cold for Saturday morning now with low 30s as far south as Birmingham. So, be aware a light freeze seems likely early Saturday. In fact, that is now beginning to look like the coldest morning of the next seven days.
SUNDAY/MONDAY: A clipper type system will bring only isolated showers Sunday night and Monday. And, the bulk of the cold air following that system looks like it will be shunted well to the east of Alabama, so we will be revising our forecast temperatures upward for the first few days of next week.
MARCH MADNESS: The 12Z GFS shows all kinds of wild weather for mid-month. But, remember, this is in VOODOO land and all of this could change. No forecast here, just model output. But, it sure is possible....
March 9-10: A robust severe weather threat is shown for parts of Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana. This system lifts northward, and the band of storms moves into Alabama with a much lesser severe weather threat.
March 12-13: A phased, cold upper trough forms over the nation's mid-section. This could set the stage for a severe weather threat here in Alabama along with some heavy rain.
March 14-15: The upper trough axis is still west of the state, and a surface low runs from the northern Gulf to near Savannah. Cold air is entrained in the northwest part of the circulation, and there sure is some hint of a mid-March snow storm for parts of the Deep South. Before you get excited, this feature will probably be gone on the next model output. But we just throw it out there as a possibility. After all, we sure have dealt with mid-March snow storms before (anyone remember March 1993??
March 16-17: A big late season cold snap following the storm, with cold air dropping deep into the Gulf of Merxico.
Very, very interesting. I sure get the idea this is going to be a wild month in the weather office.
WEATHER BRAINS: What a great show by David Black, J.B. Elliott, and Bill Murray. I vote the "TV guys" stay off the show and let these three handle it from now on. This fifth episode of Weather Brains, our weekly 30 minute podcast, is available (free, of course) via iTunes, RSS, or here:
http://www.weatherbrains.com/
The guys discuss TV severe weather coverage, the upcoming spring tornado season, and much more. Once again, a great show.
I will have the next map discussion video on the server by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
on March 1, 2006, 3:21 pm
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