Aftternoon Session Notes

Short notes on the afternoon session:

Dr. Harold Brooks of NSSL is speaking this afternoon on global severe thunderstorm activity...

Global reports are inadquate to see long term changes
Trends: U.S. severe weather environment is up

Brad Bryant from Jackson NWS is speaking... subject is the April 6, 2005 Mississippi tornado outbreak. Lasted longer than expected; fairly small impact area (basically Jackson CWA). Quite a tornado outbreak that day, but those severe storms didn't make it over into the I-65 corridor.

Jeff Craven presented a research project on various severe weather parameters here in the southern U.S... bottom line is that two great indicators of severe weather are Craven-Brooks significant severe weather parameters in excess of 20,000 (it shows up as 20 on the SPC meso page), and STP (strong tornado parameter) of over .25. Good parameters to check on severe weather threat days.

Jon Davis is speaking now...

Doing some case studies on tornadoes in the Great Plains and his associated chases in the region. Jon is one of the best severe weather metorologists in the nation. Great pictures and great presentation as always...

ON ANOTHER SUBJECT

The 12Z GFS is in and sure looks like a significant severe weather setup for Mississippi and western Tennessee. MAYBE Alabama as well... on Thursday of this coming week (Jan 9). Jeff Craven, who is sitting on the row in front of us, whispered back to us and told us to check out the GFS. He seems pretty pumped over the thing. Sure looks like an interesting week ahead.

More to come...


Posted by Greg  
on March 4, 2006, 6:30 pm
James,
I know we have long range models but darn, I didnt know we could forcast Thursday January 9th ....LOL....


Reply to this comment
Posted by Bmac  
on March 4, 2006, 7:22 pm
Jan 9? I think James hit the doughnut box one too many times.

Reply to this comment