The Wednesday afternoon web video is online and ready for viewing:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Everyone wants to talk about the March cold pattern and winter storm threats, but first... lets talk short term weather:
*Looks like a good soaking tonight. A large mass of rain and storms is moving into west Alabama, and rainfall amounts of around one inch look likely tonight along the I-20 corridor. Some stronger storms are possible south of I-20 tonight, but I don't expect any serious problems with severe storms despite that severe thunderstorm watch over south Mississippi. The rain should pretty much be over by midday tomorrow.
*The weather should be dry on Friday and Saturday, with some light rain possible by Sunday as overrunning develops. We will also watch for signs of a wedge pattern with cooler air slipping in here from the east.
LONG TERM
A cold and deep upper low is forecast to form over the Great Lakes early next week, and the first blast of cold air should roll in here by Tuesday and Wednesday. Will this cold air be deep enough for a winter storm threat at the end of next week? Too early to tell.
A storm system should pass through the deep south at the end of next week, in the March 3-5 time frame. I fully expect a significant winter weather threat for parts of the southern states; maybe Tennessee, maybe north Alabama. We will just have to wait on this one. If we do not get any snow or ice it should be a good soaking, with a likely change to rain on the back of the storm as it moves northeast.
The next shot of cold air moves in following the departing storm, in the March 5-7 time frame. Then, the GFS shows an array of waves and storms beyond that, but there is no skill in trying to resolve details so far in advance.
The screaming message is that the first half of March looks very cold, and I fully expect one, maybe two winter storm THREATS in the March 3-15 time frame.
Time to get back to the radar... we will be watching for signs of strong storms down across the southern part of our viewing area, from about Livingston to Demopolis to Marion to Clanton to Roanoke. NWS Birmingham just issued a severe thunderstorm warning for Macon county...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Everyone wants to talk about the March cold pattern and winter storm threats, but first... lets talk short term weather:
*Looks like a good soaking tonight. A large mass of rain and storms is moving into west Alabama, and rainfall amounts of around one inch look likely tonight along the I-20 corridor. Some stronger storms are possible south of I-20 tonight, but I don't expect any serious problems with severe storms despite that severe thunderstorm watch over south Mississippi. The rain should pretty much be over by midday tomorrow.
*The weather should be dry on Friday and Saturday, with some light rain possible by Sunday as overrunning develops. We will also watch for signs of a wedge pattern with cooler air slipping in here from the east.
LONG TERM
A cold and deep upper low is forecast to form over the Great Lakes early next week, and the first blast of cold air should roll in here by Tuesday and Wednesday. Will this cold air be deep enough for a winter storm threat at the end of next week? Too early to tell.
A storm system should pass through the deep south at the end of next week, in the March 3-5 time frame. I fully expect a significant winter weather threat for parts of the southern states; maybe Tennessee, maybe north Alabama. We will just have to wait on this one. If we do not get any snow or ice it should be a good soaking, with a likely change to rain on the back of the storm as it moves northeast.
The next shot of cold air moves in following the departing storm, in the March 5-7 time frame. Then, the GFS shows an array of waves and storms beyond that, but there is no skill in trying to resolve details so far in advance.
The screaming message is that the first half of March looks very cold, and I fully expect one, maybe two winter storm THREATS in the March 3-15 time frame.
Time to get back to the radar... we will be watching for signs of strong storms down across the southern part of our viewing area, from about Livingston to Demopolis to Marion to Clanton to Roanoke. NWS Birmingham just issued a severe thunderstorm warning for Macon county...
on February 23, 2005, 3:38 pm
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