The Friday morning video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Another busy day today; off to Tuscaloosa shortly to speak to the students at Holy Spirit school. And, a big THANK YOU to everyone who came to our Storm Alert 2005 show in the Oxford Civic Center last night. Over 1,000 people showed up and we had a blast.
Here is a list of coming weather attractions:
*The sun will be out in full force today with temperatures nearing 60 degrees this afternoon. A very nice late winter day. We should go into the 60s tomorrow with a partly sunny sky.
*We should have some rain at times Sunday afternoon into Monday of next week, followed by a sharp change to colder temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday. Check out that European thermal profile on Tuesday. Highs drop into the 40s, and if the sky can clear we have a good shot of going into the 20s Wednesday morning. The pattern for the first half of March continues to favor colder than normal temperatures over the eastern half of the country, including the deep south.
*Model output is pretty muddy on the storm system toward the middle or end of next week. Most models now supress the storm pretty far south in the Gulf of Mexico, with only light precipitation up here. But, we are still early in the game and there is little run to run consistency.
The GFS tries to bring a northern stream system in here around Sunday March 6 with some snow potential. There will continue to be a wild array of storms and waves in the March 5-15 time frame, and trying to resolve details this far in advance is not wise. All we can tell you is that the pattern favors cold and unsettled weather.
Lots of questions about why the "Weather Channel" and others are forecasting mild weather during the time when we are talking about cold weather. I guess they need to respond to that, but I can assure they do not have a single full time employee forecasting specifically for Alabama. Most of that stuff is probably automated based on model output statistics, and those MOS products skew toward climatology in the longer range. Pretty useless during periods of anomalous temperature regimes. I am not a critic of the Weather Channel, but my point is that they simply don't have a staff of 50 meteorologists assigned to every state in the union. We have a team of six meteorologists forecasting the weather on our staff, and it is all we can do to handle it correctly with all those people!
Sure, I can be dead wrong. Have been before, and I will be wrong again. But, my job here is to call it like I see it, not to conform to model output statistics. I have seen the GFS MOS be off as much as 30 degrees during very high amplitude patterns.
Back on I-20 this morning... headed west.
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Another busy day today; off to Tuscaloosa shortly to speak to the students at Holy Spirit school. And, a big THANK YOU to everyone who came to our Storm Alert 2005 show in the Oxford Civic Center last night. Over 1,000 people showed up and we had a blast.
Here is a list of coming weather attractions:
*The sun will be out in full force today with temperatures nearing 60 degrees this afternoon. A very nice late winter day. We should go into the 60s tomorrow with a partly sunny sky.
*We should have some rain at times Sunday afternoon into Monday of next week, followed by a sharp change to colder temperatures on Tuesday and Wednesday. Check out that European thermal profile on Tuesday. Highs drop into the 40s, and if the sky can clear we have a good shot of going into the 20s Wednesday morning. The pattern for the first half of March continues to favor colder than normal temperatures over the eastern half of the country, including the deep south.
*Model output is pretty muddy on the storm system toward the middle or end of next week. Most models now supress the storm pretty far south in the Gulf of Mexico, with only light precipitation up here. But, we are still early in the game and there is little run to run consistency.
The GFS tries to bring a northern stream system in here around Sunday March 6 with some snow potential. There will continue to be a wild array of storms and waves in the March 5-15 time frame, and trying to resolve details this far in advance is not wise. All we can tell you is that the pattern favors cold and unsettled weather.
Lots of questions about why the "Weather Channel" and others are forecasting mild weather during the time when we are talking about cold weather. I guess they need to respond to that, but I can assure they do not have a single full time employee forecasting specifically for Alabama. Most of that stuff is probably automated based on model output statistics, and those MOS products skew toward climatology in the longer range. Pretty useless during periods of anomalous temperature regimes. I am not a critic of the Weather Channel, but my point is that they simply don't have a staff of 50 meteorologists assigned to every state in the union. We have a team of six meteorologists forecasting the weather on our staff, and it is all we can do to handle it correctly with all those people!
Sure, I can be dead wrong. Have been before, and I will be wrong again. But, my job here is to call it like I see it, not to conform to model output statistics. I have seen the GFS MOS be off as much as 30 degrees during very high amplitude patterns.
Back on I-20 this morning... headed west.
on February 25, 2005, 7:02 am
Thanks for all the hard work you guys do, and for this really neat Blog. You guys are awesome!!
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