The Friday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some low clouds around this morning; those should give way to a mostly sunny sky today. Temperatures will be cooler with highs in the 60 to 65 degree range.
THE WEEKEND: Clouds increase tomorrow, but I still think most of the day will be dry. Rain begins tomorrow night, and that will be the beginning of a very wet period for Alabama. A cool rain is likely most of the day Sunday; in fact now both the NAM and the GFS are suggesting we hold in the 45 to 49 degree range through the day. That will be a miserable, wet, and chilly day.
MONDAY: The possibility of severe weather is very much up for debate. Rain and storms are likely, and the rain could be heavy at times. The latest QPF suggests rain amounts here between 2 and 4 inches between Saturday night and Monday night. Some flooding issues could develop.
The 06Z run of the GFS does try to get us in the warm sector of the storm, with the main surface low tracking from near Tulsa to Louisville. But, the quality of the warm sector is questionable. Can we get mid 60 dewpoints in here? Wind fields do seem adequete for a few severe storms. We will review the situation closely over the weekend, check in here for updates.
Another shot of cooler air arrives Tuesday with highs in the 50s. Clouds could linger much of the day. Then, our weather should be dry and cool on Wednesday and Thursday of next week.
Another wet weather system will arrive at the end of next week (around one week from today). Not much confidence in the details of that system, however. Lets get the Sunday-Monday storm system out of here and we can focus on that one.
TODAY: I will be speaking today to the 2nd graders at Deer Valley Elementary in Hoover; I will be in the office by early afternoon and the afternoon map discussion video will be up by 3:30. Will be interesting to see the 12Z run of the GFS for some clarity on the Monday severe weather potential...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some low clouds around this morning; those should give way to a mostly sunny sky today. Temperatures will be cooler with highs in the 60 to 65 degree range.
THE WEEKEND: Clouds increase tomorrow, but I still think most of the day will be dry. Rain begins tomorrow night, and that will be the beginning of a very wet period for Alabama. A cool rain is likely most of the day Sunday; in fact now both the NAM and the GFS are suggesting we hold in the 45 to 49 degree range through the day. That will be a miserable, wet, and chilly day.
MONDAY: The possibility of severe weather is very much up for debate. Rain and storms are likely, and the rain could be heavy at times. The latest QPF suggests rain amounts here between 2 and 4 inches between Saturday night and Monday night. Some flooding issues could develop.
The 06Z run of the GFS does try to get us in the warm sector of the storm, with the main surface low tracking from near Tulsa to Louisville. But, the quality of the warm sector is questionable. Can we get mid 60 dewpoints in here? Wind fields do seem adequete for a few severe storms. We will review the situation closely over the weekend, check in here for updates.
Another shot of cooler air arrives Tuesday with highs in the 50s. Clouds could linger much of the day. Then, our weather should be dry and cool on Wednesday and Thursday of next week.
Another wet weather system will arrive at the end of next week (around one week from today). Not much confidence in the details of that system, however. Lets get the Sunday-Monday storm system out of here and we can focus on that one.
TODAY: I will be speaking today to the 2nd graders at Deer Valley Elementary in Hoover; I will be in the office by early afternoon and the afternoon map discussion video will be up by 3:30. Will be interesting to see the 12Z run of the GFS for some clarity on the Monday severe weather potential...
on March 17, 2006, 6:19 am
What are your thoughts for next weekend for the NE corner of Tennessee???
Mike
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