The Monday morning video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
We are at that time of the year when we barely have time to sit down and gather our thoughts. I am off to Hamilton today to speak to the middle school kids at 11:00, and then the Kiwanis club at 12:00. The afternoon update might be a few minutes late today due to the schedule, but it should be posted sometime between 3:30 and 4:00.
Tomorrow marks the first day of meteorological spring, but it will feel more like the first day of meteorological winter. Today won't exactly be a lovely spring day either.
Clouds, some light rain, and a chilly wind will continue across Alabama today as a push of very cold air approaches from the north. Scattered snow flurries are likely tonight over the northern third of the state, but we don't expect any accumulation or travel issues. The best chance of flurries will come between about midnight and 4:00 a.m., so most folks will sleep through it anyway.
If you want to see some snow, try Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, or Boston. A major winter storm will drop between 6 to 12 inches on our pals up there, with some places seeing more than one foot.
Tomorrow will be a windy and cold day as the sun returns. Our coldest morning will come Wednesday morning, with most places dropping into the 20 to 25 degree range. The colder valleys could reach the teens.
Anyone remember a week ago when the GFS MOS products were advertising 60s for tomorrow and Wednesday?????
OTHER COMING ATTRACTIONS
Last week we mentioned one, maybe two winter storm threats for the deep south during the first part of March. Unfortunately for the snow fans it is beginning to look like both of them won't be an issue in Alabama:
*Our end of the week storm should pass too far to the south to really bother us. That was our first hope for snow fans in this March cold snap. A nice wave will indeed pass through the central Gulf, but the precipitation shield should remain near the coast and over the Gulf waters Wednesday night and Thursday. We will see some clouds here, but any precipitation looks very unlikely.
*The next issue is the clipper system this weekend. The models bring some light snow southward into Kentucky and Tennessee late Saturday an Saturday night, but the system sweeps to the east quickly, and with little moisture to work with I am not going to mention anything for us at this time. Clipper systems rarely produce any significant snow in north Alabama anyway.
As we go past seven days, the NAO, while still negative, begins to trend back to neutral territory and the main trough axis shifts to the east. This suggests a gradual warming trend beyond seven days, with temperatures finally back to normal levels by mid-month. The pattern also suggests we might be getting into a stormy set-up at mid month; we have to remember this is the tornado season.
AND... don't forget our final Storm Alert 2005 show is Wednesday night this week at Mountaintop Community Church in Vestavia, not far off U.S. 31. The show begins at 7:00, and this will be the one opportunity to see the show in the Birmingham metro area. See you there!
Very interesting post by Bill Murray below... I have strong thoughts on the subject and will try to post them later today or tonight...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
We are at that time of the year when we barely have time to sit down and gather our thoughts. I am off to Hamilton today to speak to the middle school kids at 11:00, and then the Kiwanis club at 12:00. The afternoon update might be a few minutes late today due to the schedule, but it should be posted sometime between 3:30 and 4:00.
Tomorrow marks the first day of meteorological spring, but it will feel more like the first day of meteorological winter. Today won't exactly be a lovely spring day either.
Clouds, some light rain, and a chilly wind will continue across Alabama today as a push of very cold air approaches from the north. Scattered snow flurries are likely tonight over the northern third of the state, but we don't expect any accumulation or travel issues. The best chance of flurries will come between about midnight and 4:00 a.m., so most folks will sleep through it anyway.
If you want to see some snow, try Washington, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City, or Boston. A major winter storm will drop between 6 to 12 inches on our pals up there, with some places seeing more than one foot.
Tomorrow will be a windy and cold day as the sun returns. Our coldest morning will come Wednesday morning, with most places dropping into the 20 to 25 degree range. The colder valleys could reach the teens.
Anyone remember a week ago when the GFS MOS products were advertising 60s for tomorrow and Wednesday?????
OTHER COMING ATTRACTIONS
Last week we mentioned one, maybe two winter storm threats for the deep south during the first part of March. Unfortunately for the snow fans it is beginning to look like both of them won't be an issue in Alabama:
*Our end of the week storm should pass too far to the south to really bother us. That was our first hope for snow fans in this March cold snap. A nice wave will indeed pass through the central Gulf, but the precipitation shield should remain near the coast and over the Gulf waters Wednesday night and Thursday. We will see some clouds here, but any precipitation looks very unlikely.
*The next issue is the clipper system this weekend. The models bring some light snow southward into Kentucky and Tennessee late Saturday an Saturday night, but the system sweeps to the east quickly, and with little moisture to work with I am not going to mention anything for us at this time. Clipper systems rarely produce any significant snow in north Alabama anyway.
As we go past seven days, the NAO, while still negative, begins to trend back to neutral territory and the main trough axis shifts to the east. This suggests a gradual warming trend beyond seven days, with temperatures finally back to normal levels by mid-month. The pattern also suggests we might be getting into a stormy set-up at mid month; we have to remember this is the tornado season.
AND... don't forget our final Storm Alert 2005 show is Wednesday night this week at Mountaintop Community Church in Vestavia, not far off U.S. 31. The show begins at 7:00, and this will be the one opportunity to see the show in the Birmingham metro area. See you there!
Very interesting post by Bill Murray below... I have strong thoughts on the subject and will try to post them later today or tonight...
on February 28, 2005, 9:52 am
With this likely last threat of snow this season passing us by, it makes me wonder how many years in a row we have had without "measurable" snow? I figure 5 or 6 years. I wonder if this is a record number of years. It seems as a kid { 1960-1979 } we got measurable snow ever couple of years. Is my memory wrong? Is this a temporary weather trend or the result of a significant climate chenge {global warming}?
Frank
Frank
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