The Tuesday afternoon video update is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Wonder where that guy is who called me a nit-wit last week for forecasting a big late season cold snap? I might be a nit-wit, but it is going to be very cold tonight after a blustery day complete with snow flurries. He is probably complaining about something else; there are plenty of negative people in this world. Chronic negativity is a cancer that can really spread... I always like to be around positive people.
Tricky, tricky, tricky forecast. Highlights:
*FREEZE TONIGHT: That is the easy part. Most places go into the 22 to 27 degree range; colder valleys closer to 20. Maybe even some upper teens.
*THURSDAY STORM: The new system in the Gulf of Mexico will bring rain into south Alabama on Thursday, and the 12Z GFS continues to hint at the possibility of a few snowflakes here early Thursday morning. Critical thickness value are over Birmingham at 6:00 a.m. Thursday, but surface temperatures should be above freezing and I don't think we will have any serious issues. The only potential problem would be evaporative cooling with low wet bulb temperatures, and we will have to watch for that. Otherwise, just some light rain at times Thursday morning. The WRF and NAM suggest no snow here.
*SATURDAY COLD FRONT: A strong clipper system will push a cold front in here Saturday night. There could be enough moisture with this system for some light rain Saturday afternoon or Saturday night, with some snow north of us over Tennessee and Kentucky. Not much moisture, and not much rain is expected here.
*ANOTHER STORM NEXT TUESDAY MARCH 8: The GFS shows a deep surface low over Montgomery next Tuesday, while the European shows nothing. The potential involves another storm forming out in the southwest, south of Phoenix, this weekend. Those are almost always a low confidence forecast issue... the GFS tries to push another shot of cold in here late next week following the passage of the system.
Don't forget the Storm Alert 2005 show tomorrow night at Mountaintop Community Church at 7:00. Also, I hope to see many of you at the Southeast Severe Storm Symposium this weekend at Mississippi State University. I will be speaking in the broadcast workshop on Friday, and our own Bill Murray speaks on Saturday. It will be a great weekend!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Wonder where that guy is who called me a nit-wit last week for forecasting a big late season cold snap? I might be a nit-wit, but it is going to be very cold tonight after a blustery day complete with snow flurries. He is probably complaining about something else; there are plenty of negative people in this world. Chronic negativity is a cancer that can really spread... I always like to be around positive people.
Tricky, tricky, tricky forecast. Highlights:
*FREEZE TONIGHT: That is the easy part. Most places go into the 22 to 27 degree range; colder valleys closer to 20. Maybe even some upper teens.
*THURSDAY STORM: The new system in the Gulf of Mexico will bring rain into south Alabama on Thursday, and the 12Z GFS continues to hint at the possibility of a few snowflakes here early Thursday morning. Critical thickness value are over Birmingham at 6:00 a.m. Thursday, but surface temperatures should be above freezing and I don't think we will have any serious issues. The only potential problem would be evaporative cooling with low wet bulb temperatures, and we will have to watch for that. Otherwise, just some light rain at times Thursday morning. The WRF and NAM suggest no snow here.
*SATURDAY COLD FRONT: A strong clipper system will push a cold front in here Saturday night. There could be enough moisture with this system for some light rain Saturday afternoon or Saturday night, with some snow north of us over Tennessee and Kentucky. Not much moisture, and not much rain is expected here.
*ANOTHER STORM NEXT TUESDAY MARCH 8: The GFS shows a deep surface low over Montgomery next Tuesday, while the European shows nothing. The potential involves another storm forming out in the southwest, south of Phoenix, this weekend. Those are almost always a low confidence forecast issue... the GFS tries to push another shot of cold in here late next week following the passage of the system.
Don't forget the Storm Alert 2005 show tomorrow night at Mountaintop Community Church at 7:00. Also, I hope to see many of you at the Southeast Severe Storm Symposium this weekend at Mississippi State University. I will be speaking in the broadcast workshop on Friday, and our own Bill Murray speaks on Saturday. It will be a great weekend!
on March 1, 2005, 6:29 pm
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