The Monday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Don't see much reason to change our thinking from early this morning...
Looks like showers are likely tomorrow with a weak surface boundary, but no really heavy rain and no chance of severe weather.
There is a good chance Wednesday will be a dry and mild day, then we bring back the chance of scattered showers on Thursday as moisture deepens.
A fairly decent round of rain and storms is likely at the end of the week late Friday and Friday night. A few strong strorms will be possible, but the primary dynamics will pass well to the north of the state, and a big severe weather setup doesn't look very likely.
WEEKEND PEEK: The weekend ahead still looks pretty good with dry and mild weather on Saturday and Sundayt with highs well up in the 70s.
Another setup for rain and storms shows up in about one week, Monday and Tuesday of next week (April 3-4). The system doesn't look especially robust, but seems like every year we have wild weather on those dates, so we will watch the model trends in coming days.
OVERDUE! We have mentioned here a number of times we feel Alabama is overdue for an active spring severe weather season. Our last major spring tornado was 8 years ago, on April 8, 1998 (the Oak Grove F5). It has been even longer since Mississippi has had a major spring tornado. See this note from Alan Gerard, the Jackson NWS Meteorologist In Charge:
"In the Jackson County Warning Area, we have not had a strong tornado in the month of March in over 10 years. The last strong tornado in March in our CWA was on March 7, 1995, in Tensas Parish, LA. The only other strong tornadoes in March since 1990 in our CWA occurred on March 9-10, 1992. That was also the event that had the last violent tornado in March in our CWA, which occurred in Washington/Sharkey/Humphreys counties - there was also a strong tornado during that event in Lauderdale county. Just to give some idea of how unusual this is, in the southeast United States March is the second most active month for strong tornadoes, ranking just behind April."
We sure hope this isn't the year that features the return of major spring severe weather events, but we have to be ready.
NOTES: I am going to try and post the Storm Alert 2006 special over on the video page this evening... and, we will be taping this week's Weather Brains podcast tonight, and that should be available early tomorrow morning. Stay tuned!
The next map discussion video will be ready by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Don't see much reason to change our thinking from early this morning...
Looks like showers are likely tomorrow with a weak surface boundary, but no really heavy rain and no chance of severe weather.
There is a good chance Wednesday will be a dry and mild day, then we bring back the chance of scattered showers on Thursday as moisture deepens.
A fairly decent round of rain and storms is likely at the end of the week late Friday and Friday night. A few strong strorms will be possible, but the primary dynamics will pass well to the north of the state, and a big severe weather setup doesn't look very likely.
WEEKEND PEEK: The weekend ahead still looks pretty good with dry and mild weather on Saturday and Sundayt with highs well up in the 70s.
Another setup for rain and storms shows up in about one week, Monday and Tuesday of next week (April 3-4). The system doesn't look especially robust, but seems like every year we have wild weather on those dates, so we will watch the model trends in coming days.
OVERDUE! We have mentioned here a number of times we feel Alabama is overdue for an active spring severe weather season. Our last major spring tornado was 8 years ago, on April 8, 1998 (the Oak Grove F5). It has been even longer since Mississippi has had a major spring tornado. See this note from Alan Gerard, the Jackson NWS Meteorologist In Charge:
"In the Jackson County Warning Area, we have not had a strong tornado in the month of March in over 10 years. The last strong tornado in March in our CWA was on March 7, 1995, in Tensas Parish, LA. The only other strong tornadoes in March since 1990 in our CWA occurred on March 9-10, 1992. That was also the event that had the last violent tornado in March in our CWA, which occurred in Washington/Sharkey/Humphreys counties - there was also a strong tornado during that event in Lauderdale county. Just to give some idea of how unusual this is, in the southeast United States March is the second most active month for strong tornadoes, ranking just behind April."
We sure hope this isn't the year that features the return of major spring severe weather events, but we have to be ready.
NOTES: I am going to try and post the Storm Alert 2006 special over on the video page this evening... and, we will be taping this week's Weather Brains podcast tonight, and that should be available early tomorrow morning. Stay tuned!
The next map discussion video will be ready by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
on March 27, 2006, 9:06 pm
"Hunt for the Supertwister".
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/tornado/damage.html
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