I wonder if we should put this on hold and go over to the HUMP and watch the Alabama/Mississippi State basketball game which is coming up shortly. I had a chance to speak briefly with Winsome Frazier last night at the hotel... Frazier is a MSU player who is getting back in action after breaking his foot early in the season.
Next speaker here at MSU is Stephen Flood of NCEP up in Washington, DC... doing a paper on the role of TS Gaston producing a 100 year flood in Richmond in August 2004.
What a great name for somone doing a presentation on a flood event!
48 hour ETA did a horrible job with the QPF field, but it started to latch on to event 12 to 36 hours prior to the flood. Still nothing in the short term on the ETA to suggest a record rain event (15 inches or so).
ETA told us where it would rain, but not how much. ETA was too far north with maximum amounts.
Very sharp gradient on the NW edge of the precipitation shield. Little spot on NEXRAD storm total showed over 15 inches just north of Richmond. Washington DC only had light amounts.
Mid and upper level dry air was very well defined in this flood event. CAPE was 2127, relatively high for an LTC. CAPE peaked at 2957 during the event.
Dr. Doswell is telling everyone to quit relying on models and look more at the data as any event begins to unfold. A big amen from J.B. on that comment.
NEXT PRESENTATION
A team from the University of Louisiana at Monroe now will do an analysis of the coast transition from the landfalls of hurricanes Frances and Ivan..
J.B. is up to a total of 12 doughnuts since yesterday.
The ULM crew set up 40 foot tall equipment towers for Ivan at Dauphin Island and Mon Louis, a community on the eastern shore of Mobile Bay.
Their towers were on the western, weak, side of Ivan during landfall.
Both towers had data loggers with solar power.
Highest gust at Dauphin Island was 26 m/s.... not even hurricane force. Reduced wind due to trees north of the tower location. 952 mb was the lowest pressure.
Highest wind at Mon Louis was 100 m/s.
More ahead...
Next speaker here at MSU is Stephen Flood of NCEP up in Washington, DC... doing a paper on the role of TS Gaston producing a 100 year flood in Richmond in August 2004.
What a great name for somone doing a presentation on a flood event!
48 hour ETA did a horrible job with the QPF field, but it started to latch on to event 12 to 36 hours prior to the flood. Still nothing in the short term on the ETA to suggest a record rain event (15 inches or so).
ETA told us where it would rain, but not how much. ETA was too far north with maximum amounts.
Very sharp gradient on the NW edge of the precipitation shield. Little spot on NEXRAD storm total showed over 15 inches just north of Richmond. Washington DC only had light amounts.
Mid and upper level dry air was very well defined in this flood event. CAPE was 2127, relatively high for an LTC. CAPE peaked at 2957 during the event.
Dr. Doswell is telling everyone to quit relying on models and look more at the data as any event begins to unfold. A big amen from J.B. on that comment.
NEXT PRESENTATION
A team from the University of Louisiana at Monroe now will do an analysis of the coast transition from the landfalls of hurricanes Frances and Ivan..
J.B. is up to a total of 12 doughnuts since yesterday.
The ULM crew set up 40 foot tall equipment towers for Ivan at Dauphin Island and Mon Louis, a community on the eastern shore of Mobile Bay.
Their towers were on the western, weak, side of Ivan during landfall.
Both towers had data loggers with solar power.
Highest gust at Dauphin Island was 26 m/s.... not even hurricane force. Reduced wind due to trees north of the tower location. 952 mb was the lowest pressure.
Highest wind at Mon Louis was 100 m/s.
More ahead...
on March 5, 2005, 10:55 am
did you get a from chris maddox the meteorologist in georiga he is from cullman.
he is on wagt tv station.
www.wagt.com
click on his picture.
reply back soon
from
kevin
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