The final speaker today is Jon Davies of Kansas... another excellent meteorologist and one of the best in the business.
He is discussing an outbreak in May 2004... showing lots of model data and upper air soundings.
Some tornadoes occur in environments that come up short on CAPE, Helicity, etc...
Jon suggests a new parameter: "Enhanced Stetching Potential"... or ESP
Calculated using CAPE and 0-2 km lapse rate
ESP would false alarm a good deal, but using in conjunction with an analysis of boundaries and focus areas it would be helpful.
Battery is running down... going to pack up and get ready for the Little Dooey BBQ Bash. Will get some pictures of J.B. in action over there this evening...
He is discussing an outbreak in May 2004... showing lots of model data and upper air soundings.
Some tornadoes occur in environments that come up short on CAPE, Helicity, etc...
Jon suggests a new parameter: "Enhanced Stetching Potential"... or ESP
Calculated using CAPE and 0-2 km lapse rate
ESP would false alarm a good deal, but using in conjunction with an analysis of boundaries and focus areas it would be helpful.
Battery is running down... going to pack up and get ready for the Little Dooey BBQ Bash. Will get some pictures of J.B. in action over there this evening...