Still Warm, Still Dry

The Monday morning map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Today will be the 9th day in a row without a drop of rain for most Alabama communities. And, temperatures will remain well above normal with mid 80s likely.

TOMORROW: A weak "wedge" front will slip in here from the east. I don't think it will impact temperatures much at all, so mid 80s are likely again. The front will provide a little low level convergence, so a few afternoon storms might pop up somewhere over the northern half of the state. However, the chance of any one spot getting rain is really small and not worth mentioning for now. And, to the northwest, storms will be getting closer; SPC has defined a slight risk of severe weather in the broad area from Omaha, NE to Huntsville. A few storms might slip into the northwest part of the state tomorrow evening.

WEDNESDAY: A slight risk of severe storms is defined by SPC over parts of Tennessee, and much of North and Central Alabama. This is not a classic severe weather setup for sure; the main upper low is well to the north (over the Dakotas), but there will be a surface front in the area, instability values will be fairly high, and wind fields are relatively strong. So, a few storms Wednesday afternoon could produce hail or strong winds. It won't rain all day, and we will see sun at times.

THURSDAY: For now the weather looks dry and cooler; highs in the upper 70s with a partly sunny sky.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY: The weather looks a little unsettled on these days. Once again, no wash-out or all-day rain. But, a few showers and storms will be around each day as a weak front remains draped across the Deep South and a series of ripples move through the zonal flow across the region. Highs should be in the 77 to 80 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS develops a trough over the eastern U.S. early next week which should bring in drier and cooler air in about 7 to 9 days from now.

Enjoy your Monday; I will have the next map discussion video posted by 3:30 this afternoon!
Posted by  
on April 17, 2006, 1:26 pm
Can you start talking about the week before Talladega in the long range, I am going to be camping at the track the whole week before the race and was getting anxious. Last April we had some rain every day that week, a creek flooded in our campground, and a misty cold Saturday for the Busch race. Looking forward to improved weather this year. Thanks for all your hard work, I am a loyal viewer.

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Posted by Craig  
on April 17, 2006, 2:10 pm
We've reached a warm 100 degrees today for the first time this year here in Tolar, TX (west of Ft worth). Normal high is 77 for this time of year... talk about a mid-spring scorcher!! Last year on easter we had some light snow here

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