Gradual Changes Ahead

The Monday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Over the next seven days we will be gradually making a change to a wetter pattern across the southern U.S.

TOMORROW: Still looks warm and dry. Like today, some morning clouds giving way to afternoon sunshine. Highs in the mid 80s. We are almost getting to the point where you might want to mention isolated storms, but I think storms that form will be mainly to the north, where there is a slight risk of severe weather from Huntsville to near Omaha, Nebraska.

WEDNESDAY: A weak surface boundary slips in here on Wednesday, and could trigger a few scattered showers and storms. SPC maintains a slight risk of severe weather for the northern half of the state, with the main problem coming from hail and strong winds. The main upper low will be over the Dakotas, so upper support is marginal. But, wind fields are relatively strong, and the air will be pretty unstable.

THURSDAY: The 12Z GFS backs on the idea of cooler and drier air moving in here. It keeps us warm with higher dewpoints, so a few isolated showers or storms will be possible.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY: This forecast will sound a little like summer... the chance of scattered, mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms on all three days. Highs in the 77 to 81 degree range. No wash-out, and some sun at times. Bottom line is that the old surface boundary just hangs around, and with a little surface convergence and the daytime heating process you sure can't leave out the chance of scattered showers and storms.

NEXT WEEK: The weather looks pretty unsettled for the first half of next week, with a chance of showers or storms on a daily basis Monday through Wednesday (April 24-26). The GFS is suggesting rain-free weather by race weekend at Talladega (April 29-30), but that is a low confidence idea at best.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY: To our own J.B. Elliott... he has been around a few years but is getting younger by the day!

I will have the next map discussion video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
Posted by  
on April 17, 2006, 2:42 pm
Hey JB HAPPY BIRTHDAY !)!)!)

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Posted by Rusty Pitts  
on April 17, 2006, 2:44 pm
Happy Birthday JB.... SO what did little miss molly get you ???

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Posted by   www
on April 17, 2006, 2:56 pm
Happy Birthday to you JB!! Hope you have a wonderful, pampered-ful day (Altho I think I know who will get all the pampering... Miss Molly! )



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Posted by  
on April 17, 2006, 3:02 pm
Happy Birthday J.B. !!!!


ihopetheydontlightallthecandlesatonce

duckfetchr

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Posted by  
on April 17, 2006, 3:13 pm
You are so right...if they lit all of the candles at the same time, it would burn the house down!

Thanks to all of you for the good wishes. Just a naormal day and made much worse because I spent most of last night and this morning getting my income tax data to my CPA.

Me thinks the IRS should exempt birthday people from observing deadline day...

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Posted by  
on April 17, 2006, 4:46 pm
Happy B'day JB and thanks for all you do... all with a fantastic attitude. You are greatly appreciated.



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Posted by John T.  
on April 17, 2006, 5:35 pm
Happy 39th birthday J.B. and I conquer with what Andy M stated . Many more to come . Again , you are a scholar and a gentlemen ! You bring soooo much to this blog that we bloggers could never thank you enough for your endless and tireless work , plus, your knowledge is out of this world . We love ya !

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Posted by Kenny Evans  
on April 17, 2006, 6:30 pm
Anybody that wants to talk weather in real time and talk in voice/type click here:

http://www.wxchat.com/board/index.php?showtopic=10984

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Posted by   www
on April 17, 2006, 9:34 pm
HAPPY BIRTHDAY JB!!!!!

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