The Tuesday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
SPC maintains a slight risk of severe weather for the northern half of Alabama later today and tonight.
No rain this morning for Alabama, but showers and storms should begin to fire up later this afternoon, and some strong storms will be possible roughly from 4:00 until 10:00 p.m. Quite franky, severe weather parameters are not overwhelming... the NAM does suggest an area of surface based CAPE approaching 2000 over West Alabama this evening, but wind fields are relatively weak for late April and also unidirectional. Lapse rates are somewhat steep, so hail might be the biggest threat. But, we don't expect the kind of hail we had last week.
But, remember, with thunderstorms expect the unexpected so we will be keeping an eye on the sky.
Periods of rain will continue through the night and into tomorrow morning. The GFS is showing 0.88" of rain here, while the NAM is only suggesting 0.28". The truth is probably somewhere in between. The rain should taper off from west to east during the midday hours tomorrow.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Two beautiful days with ample sunshine and highs in the 70s.
THE WEEKEND: The GFS is now phasing a northern branch and southern branch system, and generates a very strong storm over Missouri over the weekend. The latest run suggests much of the day Saturday will be dry, but showers and storms creep in here by Saturday night, and for Sunday we will have to highlight showers and thunderstorms. If the phased solution is correct, there will be a threat of strong to severe storms here on Sunday. NASCAR fans, don't panic yet, things can still change. But for it does indeed look like we will be dodging raindrops, and maybe lightning bolts, on Sunday.
LONG RANGE: The longer range favors a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. into early May, which would mean temperatures at or below normal here, generally speaking, as we get into the month of May. Hey, no problems with that for me.
TODAY: I will be on the road speaking to the students at Huntingdon Place Elementary in Northport today. I sure hope I have some time to hit the City Cafe in Northport. Will be back in the office by early afternoon and should be able to post the afternoon map discussion video on time by 3:30...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
SPC maintains a slight risk of severe weather for the northern half of Alabama later today and tonight.
No rain this morning for Alabama, but showers and storms should begin to fire up later this afternoon, and some strong storms will be possible roughly from 4:00 until 10:00 p.m. Quite franky, severe weather parameters are not overwhelming... the NAM does suggest an area of surface based CAPE approaching 2000 over West Alabama this evening, but wind fields are relatively weak for late April and also unidirectional. Lapse rates are somewhat steep, so hail might be the biggest threat. But, we don't expect the kind of hail we had last week.
But, remember, with thunderstorms expect the unexpected so we will be keeping an eye on the sky.
Periods of rain will continue through the night and into tomorrow morning. The GFS is showing 0.88" of rain here, while the NAM is only suggesting 0.28". The truth is probably somewhere in between. The rain should taper off from west to east during the midday hours tomorrow.
THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Two beautiful days with ample sunshine and highs in the 70s.
THE WEEKEND: The GFS is now phasing a northern branch and southern branch system, and generates a very strong storm over Missouri over the weekend. The latest run suggests much of the day Saturday will be dry, but showers and storms creep in here by Saturday night, and for Sunday we will have to highlight showers and thunderstorms. If the phased solution is correct, there will be a threat of strong to severe storms here on Sunday. NASCAR fans, don't panic yet, things can still change. But for it does indeed look like we will be dodging raindrops, and maybe lightning bolts, on Sunday.
LONG RANGE: The longer range favors a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. into early May, which would mean temperatures at or below normal here, generally speaking, as we get into the month of May. Hey, no problems with that for me.
TODAY: I will be on the road speaking to the students at Huntingdon Place Elementary in Northport today. I sure hope I have some time to hit the City Cafe in Northport. Will be back in the office by early afternoon and should be able to post the afternoon map discussion video on time by 3:30...
on April 25, 2006, 8:01 am
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