The Wednesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
The surface front is just north of Birmingham as I write this. Muscle Shoals is down to 61 degrees behind the front; our SKYCAM network site on top of the Daniel Building downtown Birmingham shows 70 with a healthy band of showers and storms just to the north of the city along the front.
Other observations in the cool air north of the front include 59 at both Greenville and Greenwood, MS, and 54 at Memphis.
TOMORROW/FRIDAY: We will clear late tonight, and tomorrow and Friday should be very nice days with lots of sun and highs in the 70s.
THE WEEKEND: Once again we will try to be very specific since this is race weekend at Talladega. A strong upper low over the southwest U.S. will phase with a northern stream system, setting up a strong, dynamic storm system over Kansas and Missouri by Saturday. This will spread rain into Alabama during the day Saturday; it could be that the rain won't arrive in East Alabama until after 1:00 or 2:00 p.m.
Rain and storms should be widespread Saturday night. There is growing concern about the possibility of strong to severe storms. The big question is instability. Can we get dewpoints in the mid 60s back in here after a very dry airmass Saturday and Sunday? It is possible. For the moment it looks like the best chance of strong to severe storms over Alabama will come from about 9:00 p.m. Saturday through 9:00 a.m. Sunday.
Significant amounts of rain are likely as well; many places should see one to two inches.
A dry slot will move into West Alabama Sunday morning, cutting off the rain. It still looks like the rain will be ending over East Alabama by midday, or early afternoon. So there is a decent chance the big race Sunday at the Talladega Superspeedway can go on as scheduled.
Keep an eye on our blog discussions for updates on the weekend situation.
EARLY NEXT WEEK: A piece of the upper trough hangs back, so there could be some lingering clouds around Monday, but not much rain is expected. Tuesday and Wednesday of next week should be dry.
LONG RANGE: The GFS continues the idea of a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. during the first week of May, which should keep temperatures at or below normal levels here. Then, as that pattern breaks down a pretty good looking trough approaches by May 11-13 which could bring some active weather.
I will have the next map discussion video on the web by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow. We are giving away video iPods on ABC 33/40 news for the next four weeks... guess I need to provide the map discussion on iPod video format as well. I will try to work on that later this afternoon. Never a dull moment around here!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
The surface front is just north of Birmingham as I write this. Muscle Shoals is down to 61 degrees behind the front; our SKYCAM network site on top of the Daniel Building downtown Birmingham shows 70 with a healthy band of showers and storms just to the north of the city along the front.
Other observations in the cool air north of the front include 59 at both Greenville and Greenwood, MS, and 54 at Memphis.
TOMORROW/FRIDAY: We will clear late tonight, and tomorrow and Friday should be very nice days with lots of sun and highs in the 70s.
THE WEEKEND: Once again we will try to be very specific since this is race weekend at Talladega. A strong upper low over the southwest U.S. will phase with a northern stream system, setting up a strong, dynamic storm system over Kansas and Missouri by Saturday. This will spread rain into Alabama during the day Saturday; it could be that the rain won't arrive in East Alabama until after 1:00 or 2:00 p.m.
Rain and storms should be widespread Saturday night. There is growing concern about the possibility of strong to severe storms. The big question is instability. Can we get dewpoints in the mid 60s back in here after a very dry airmass Saturday and Sunday? It is possible. For the moment it looks like the best chance of strong to severe storms over Alabama will come from about 9:00 p.m. Saturday through 9:00 a.m. Sunday.
Significant amounts of rain are likely as well; many places should see one to two inches.
A dry slot will move into West Alabama Sunday morning, cutting off the rain. It still looks like the rain will be ending over East Alabama by midday, or early afternoon. So there is a decent chance the big race Sunday at the Talladega Superspeedway can go on as scheduled.
Keep an eye on our blog discussions for updates on the weekend situation.
EARLY NEXT WEEK: A piece of the upper trough hangs back, so there could be some lingering clouds around Monday, but not much rain is expected. Tuesday and Wednesday of next week should be dry.
LONG RANGE: The GFS continues the idea of a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. during the first week of May, which should keep temperatures at or below normal levels here. Then, as that pattern breaks down a pretty good looking trough approaches by May 11-13 which could bring some active weather.
I will have the next map discussion video on the web by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow. We are giving away video iPods on ABC 33/40 news for the next four weeks... guess I need to provide the map discussion on iPod video format as well. I will try to work on that later this afternoon. Never a dull moment around here!
on April 26, 2006, 2:05 pm
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