Super Spring Weather

The Thursday morning map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

We will begin making these map discussion videos available on iTunes later today... I will post a note when we are ready to go. There have been several requests for this in recent months, and since we will begin offering our regular weather webcasts (along with news and sports) on iTunes today, I figured I would throw this video into the mix as well. SO... if you have a video iPod you can watch our map discussion videos anywhere!

TODAY/TOMORROW: This is the easy part of the forecast. Lots of sun; comfortable temperatures. Highs in the 70s, we go into the 40s tomorrow morning. Very nice.

THE WEEKEND: This is the hard part of the forecast. No doubt we will have rain and storms. Timing and intensity are the issues.

For now we will continue to forecast the main chance of rain from about 4:00 p.m. Saturday through 12:00 noon on Sunday. A big, phased storm will be over the middle of the nation this weekend. Very good dynamics, and a good soaking is likely. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches is a good bet; some spots could get more than that.

Another question is the amount of instability. Dewpoints look rather low in model output, which hopefully will keep the severe weather threat low. But, if instability values are greater than models are forecasting, then we might have some problems with severe storms Saturday night or Sunday morning.

In our forecast will continue to be optimistic and call for the rain to taper off by midday Sunday as a dry slot works in here from the west. This is great, of course, for NASCAR fans and hopefully the big race Sunday at the Talladega Superspeedway can be run with no delay. But, no promises. Big storm systems like this one can be slow movers.

EARLY NEXT WEEK: The GFS is bginning to hint and clouds and some light rain at times lingering into Monday, and maybe even Tuesday of next week, as the upper system slowly fills and a surface front hangs around.

LONG RANGE: The idea continue to be a mean upper trough over the eastern U.S. for the first week, maybe even the first two weeks of May. This implies temperatures at or below normal here with occasional rain producing systems.

TODAY: I will be speaking to the kids at Mount Laurel Elementary School in Shelby County... then on to the office where I will have the afternoon video posted by 3:30 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!
Posted by   www
on April 27, 2006, 6:09 am
The low was 47.8 this morning in Vinemont. It feels like autumn.

Reply to this comment