Complex Weekend Forecast

The Friday morning map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Again a reminder we have the map discussion video available on iTunes... along with our daily webcasts. You can watch us on the go!

TODAY: Get ready for another delightful day. Lots of sun and a big warm-up; we should reach the mid to upper 70s this afternoon. Sure am anjoying this crisp morning... at 5:00 the temperature was in the mid 40s at almost all of the observation points over north and central Alabama. Interesting to note that our SKYCAM location at Mt. Cheaha is showing 54 degrees as I write this, about 10 degrees warmer than the lower elevations. Fairly common for this to happen on a clear calm morning.

TOMORROW: Sure looks like most of the day tomorrow (Saturday) will be dry. While we can't rule out a shower by afternoon, the main action stays to the west of the state. A great chance the Saturday race at Talladega will run with no weather problems.

TOMORROW NIGHT: The models continue to slow down the main band of rain with the big, phased storm over the central U.S. Might be after midnight before rain and storms become widespread.

THE WEDGE: You can't ignore the wedge pattern being advertised by the models, and much cooler air will be filtering down the backbone of the Appalachians and moving through Georgia tomorrow night. The models bring the wedge of cool air into Alabama on Sunday; the GFS is showing a high of only 61 in Birmingham Sunday, while the NAM shows 67. No doubt we will need to lower our forecast temperatures on Sunday. Looks like a very cool day for late April, and a wet day as well. Would not be shocked if some places like Heflin and Wedowee hover in the upper 50s all day Sunday, feeling more like a winter day!

SUNDAY: The weather sure looks cool and wet. With the wedge of cooler air in place, severe weather won't be a problem. Another consideration is the possibility of an MCS (mesoscale convective system) moving along the Gulf coastal region. If this happens, it might cut off the moisture flow into our region and really cut down on the amount of rain we get. The GFS is still hinting at this. For now we will just mention periods of rain on Sunday, with temperatures hovering in the low to mid 60s.

Best possible case for the NASCAR fans is for the South Alabama storm complex to shut down the rain up here. Can't promise that, but it is a possibility.

NEXT WEEK: The GFS is coming in drier for Monday and Tuesday of next week... if the 12Z run continues this trend we can back off on the chance of showers. Another wet weather system moves in here late in the week.

LONG RANGE: No sign of any 80s for the first week of May, and possibly into mid-May, as a mean upper trough continues over the eastern U.S.

I will have the next map discussion video ready by 3:30 this afternoon... will be very interesting to watch the 12Z model runs come in. Have a great Friday morning!
Posted by  
on April 28, 2006, 5:42 am
It was a nice crisp 37.7° at Black Creek this morning. J. B. would love it!

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Posted by   www
on April 28, 2006, 5:58 am
43.2 in Vinemont this a.m.

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Posted by  
on April 28, 2006, 6:32 am
Finally, I can watch the map discussions while in Alabama! Thanks!



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Posted by  
on April 28, 2006, 6:54 am
My low here in Alabaster was a cool 42.0.

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Posted by Margie Richardson - Rainbow City  
on April 28, 2006, 7:46 am
Vic...shut your door, it's cold!! I hear the fish in the Coosa calling my name :) Think I will go fishing on this beautiful day and watch the race traffic at the causeway on 77 pass by :) There are some crazy looking RV's that go to that race....not to mention the people that are driving them!! Go Jr!!

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