Active Weather Ahead

Lets look ahead to the wet weather system expected to affect Alabama during the first half of next week. The last thing we need is more rain around here since some places have seen over 10 inches this month. In fact, a few communities saw about 8 inches during a four day period this week from Sunday through Wednesday. The ground is soaked, rivers, creeks, and streams are full, and in come cases, still out of their banks.

Unfortunately we will have some rain to deal with tomorrow. Nothing heavy, but it will keep the ground good and soggy. Then, rain will increase again on Monday as a warm front develops to the south of us and a broad southwest flow aloft sets up again. Periods of rain are likely on Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday with a few thunderstorms along the way as well. As we get into the warm sector of the storm to the west of us, we might have to deal with more strong storms by Tuesday night and Wednesday. There is some eerie similarity to the system that brought us so much severe weather this week, but we are not comfortable being very specific about a severe weather threat this far in advance. Even with no severe weather, this might produce some heavy rain at times, and more flooding could be an issue. Both flash flooding and river flooding. So, we will be on our toes and get plenty of sleep this weekend in case we have to burn the midnight oil again.

Looking at weather statistics; Birmingham’s rain total for November is now just under ten inches, 9.80”. For total for the year is 56.36”, which is 7.47” above normal. The rainfall distribution this year has not been very even, with lots of it coming during Hurricane Ivan in September, and during the frequent storm systems during November.