The Wednesday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Don't forget, all of our video and audio products are now available on iTunes... just search for ABC 33/40 in the podcast section.
I am not totally sure what treacherous means, but J.B. used it in his headline today over on the seven day forecast page,and I will use it here. Confidence in the weekend forecast is not really high now. Lets break it down one day at a time:
THIS EVENING: Scattered strong storms will continue this evening, mainly north of Birmingham. The stonger storms as I write this are lined up from the eastern part of Smith Lake to Good Hope to Oneonta. And, those storms are hardly moving. Some spots in Cullman and Blount counties will wind up with one one inch of rain, but most of Alabama won't see a drop tonight.
TOMORROW: No big change from today; partly sunny, warm, and humid with widely scattered afternoon and nighttime showers and storms. We should reach the low 80s again.
FRIDAY: Showers and storms should become more numerous by Friday afternoon as a surface front approaches from the north. Periods of rain and a few storms are likely Friday night as well. Strong storms will be possible, but a major severe weather problem doesn't look likely at this point since instability values won't get out of hand.
THE WEEKEND: Quite a problematic forecast. The 12Z models have backed off on rain for Saturday, and bring in more rain on Sunday. Not the picture we painted this morning.
While I am not totally convinced the dry solution is correct for Saturday, I do need to think we need to insert at least a chance of rain on Sunday as a wave of low pressure forms on the front over southwest Alabama.
I will not be shocked to see the models bring the rain back on Saturday on the 00Z runs later tonight. But, if you do have something planned outside on Saturday, there is a ray of hope.
NEXT WEEK: The GFS hangs on to enough moisture for a few showers on Monday, then dry air moves in here on Tuesday.
MID-MONTH: The 12Z GFS shows an omega block over North America around May 15... this would put Alabama in a dry northwest flow aloft on the back side of an eastern U.S. trough. I would not trust anything this far out, however, since we are having a hard time resolving weather details just three days in advance right now!
SKYCAMS: Don't forget you can see images and weather data from all of our SKYCAM network sites here:
http://www.abc3340.com/static/skycams/skycamsmain.html
We are adding high temp, low temp, daily rainfall, and daily peak wind gust to the data from all sites set tonight or tomorrow; that will be very helpful.
I will have the next map discussion video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Don't forget, all of our video and audio products are now available on iTunes... just search for ABC 33/40 in the podcast section.
I am not totally sure what treacherous means, but J.B. used it in his headline today over on the seven day forecast page,and I will use it here. Confidence in the weekend forecast is not really high now. Lets break it down one day at a time:
THIS EVENING: Scattered strong storms will continue this evening, mainly north of Birmingham. The stonger storms as I write this are lined up from the eastern part of Smith Lake to Good Hope to Oneonta. And, those storms are hardly moving. Some spots in Cullman and Blount counties will wind up with one one inch of rain, but most of Alabama won't see a drop tonight.
TOMORROW: No big change from today; partly sunny, warm, and humid with widely scattered afternoon and nighttime showers and storms. We should reach the low 80s again.
FRIDAY: Showers and storms should become more numerous by Friday afternoon as a surface front approaches from the north. Periods of rain and a few storms are likely Friday night as well. Strong storms will be possible, but a major severe weather problem doesn't look likely at this point since instability values won't get out of hand.
THE WEEKEND: Quite a problematic forecast. The 12Z models have backed off on rain for Saturday, and bring in more rain on Sunday. Not the picture we painted this morning.
While I am not totally convinced the dry solution is correct for Saturday, I do need to think we need to insert at least a chance of rain on Sunday as a wave of low pressure forms on the front over southwest Alabama.
I will not be shocked to see the models bring the rain back on Saturday on the 00Z runs later tonight. But, if you do have something planned outside on Saturday, there is a ray of hope.
NEXT WEEK: The GFS hangs on to enough moisture for a few showers on Monday, then dry air moves in here on Tuesday.
MID-MONTH: The 12Z GFS shows an omega block over North America around May 15... this would put Alabama in a dry northwest flow aloft on the back side of an eastern U.S. trough. I would not trust anything this far out, however, since we are having a hard time resolving weather details just three days in advance right now!
SKYCAMS: Don't forget you can see images and weather data from all of our SKYCAM network sites here:
http://www.abc3340.com/static/skycams/skycamsmain.html
We are adding high temp, low temp, daily rainfall, and daily peak wind gust to the data from all sites set tonight or tomorrow; that will be very helpful.
I will have the next map discussion video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!
on May 3, 2006, 2:36 pm
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