The Friday morning map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Lots of rain on the radar this morning... lets take the weekend one day at a time.
TODAY: Periods of rain and a few thunderstorms will continue this morning. The WRF suggests the rain will end from west to east during the afternoon, and by 6:00 p.m. almost all of the rain should be to the east and south of here. Looks like tonight we will be mostly rain-free. Severe weather is not likely today since the air will remain rather stable thanks to the morning clouds and rain.
TOMORROW: Excellent model agreement now; most of the day should be dry for the northern half of the state. Any showers should be limited to South Alabama, and even there they should be pretty scattered. The sun should peek out at times, and temperatures should reach the mid to upper 70s.
SUNDAY: Rain returns. No all-day rain, but periods of rain are likely as a wave of low pressure forms on the front to the south. We might have a little thunder, but severe weather is not expected since the best instability values will stay to the south. Highs in the low 70s due to the clouds and rain.
MONDAY/TUESDAY: The chance of rain early next week looks relatively small, although a few widely scattered showers could show up by Tuesday afternoon.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: A fairly dynamic upper system to the north will swing a surface boundary down this way. The 00Z GFS suggests the best chance of showers and storms from this feature will come Wednesday afternoon, Wednesday night, and early Thursday morning. That might be a little fast; the main action could hold off until Thursday. Strong to severe storms might become an issue with good upper air support and fairly strong wind fields. SPC has all of Alabama in a severe weather risk in their day 4-8 outlook for this event.
FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY (May 12-14): The GFS stalls the surface front over South Alabama and keeps rain going down there. It hints at dry conditions for the north-central part of the state on these three days, but with a broad trough forming over the eastern half of the nation (the axis will be a tad west of the state according to the GFS), I am not sure we can stay dry on these three days. Lets get through this weekend and we can give you a much better idea of weather for this period Monday.
I will be out at the Regions Charity Golf Classic this afternoon; I will be going the weather live at 5:00 and 6:00 from the Ross Bridge Resort. I should have time to get the afternoon video posted to the server by 3:30 as usual...
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Lots of rain on the radar this morning... lets take the weekend one day at a time.
TODAY: Periods of rain and a few thunderstorms will continue this morning. The WRF suggests the rain will end from west to east during the afternoon, and by 6:00 p.m. almost all of the rain should be to the east and south of here. Looks like tonight we will be mostly rain-free. Severe weather is not likely today since the air will remain rather stable thanks to the morning clouds and rain.
TOMORROW: Excellent model agreement now; most of the day should be dry for the northern half of the state. Any showers should be limited to South Alabama, and even there they should be pretty scattered. The sun should peek out at times, and temperatures should reach the mid to upper 70s.
SUNDAY: Rain returns. No all-day rain, but periods of rain are likely as a wave of low pressure forms on the front to the south. We might have a little thunder, but severe weather is not expected since the best instability values will stay to the south. Highs in the low 70s due to the clouds and rain.
MONDAY/TUESDAY: The chance of rain early next week looks relatively small, although a few widely scattered showers could show up by Tuesday afternoon.
WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: A fairly dynamic upper system to the north will swing a surface boundary down this way. The 00Z GFS suggests the best chance of showers and storms from this feature will come Wednesday afternoon, Wednesday night, and early Thursday morning. That might be a little fast; the main action could hold off until Thursday. Strong to severe storms might become an issue with good upper air support and fairly strong wind fields. SPC has all of Alabama in a severe weather risk in their day 4-8 outlook for this event.
FRIDAY/SATURDAY/SUNDAY (May 12-14): The GFS stalls the surface front over South Alabama and keeps rain going down there. It hints at dry conditions for the north-central part of the state on these three days, but with a broad trough forming over the eastern half of the nation (the axis will be a tad west of the state according to the GFS), I am not sure we can stay dry on these three days. Lets get through this weekend and we can give you a much better idea of weather for this period Monday.
I will be out at the Regions Charity Golf Classic this afternoon; I will be going the weather live at 5:00 and 6:00 from the Ross Bridge Resort. I should have time to get the afternoon video posted to the server by 3:30 as usual...
on May 5, 2006, 6:40 am
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