Warm Spring Afternoons

The Monday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

Sure enjoyed the drive up to Bear Creek today... that is a community in the northeast corner of Marion County between Haleyville and Phil Campbell... look for the kids on the KIDCAM today on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00. That wraps up the school weather program tour for the 2005-2006 school year. We have seen literally thousands of kids along the way. Thanks to all of the teachers and children for having us! We are booking dates now for the 2006-2007 school year.

TONIGHT: SPC has dropped the slight risk for far north Alabama for tonight, and sure looks like most communities will be dry. A weak band of showers did move through the Tennessee Valley earlier in the day, but those fell apart as they moved to the southeast. I guess a rogue shower might pop up somewhere tonight, but I highly doubt it.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: Dry and warm weather continues. Highs well into the 80s; the chance of rain is tiny. The NAM tries to ramp up the chance of storms by Wednesday afternoon, but that solution is tossed out for now.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: A short wave trough aloft will pass north of here, and a few scattered afternoon showers or storms will be possible on these days. But, "scattered" is the key word. Afternoon temperatures will stay very warm, with highs in the mid to upper 80s.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Ridging aloft is the big story, that should mean mostly warm and dry weather Saturday through Monday. Warm air aloft should keep a lid on convection for the most part, but a few isolated afternoon storms might show up over the weekend. Looks like we will be close to 90 degrees each afternoon. It will really feel like summer, which I guess you have to expect for Memorial Day.

TROPICS: The clouds in the Gulf are on the east side of an upper air low south/southeast of Galveston.This does not favor any tropical development at the surface. SSTs are also only in the 70s over the northern Gulf; you really need those at 80 (F) or higher for tropical storm formation.

The GFS does develop a tropical system on the northern coast of Cuba around June 3, and moves it parallel to the east coast of the U.S. in the following days. This, most likely, is bogus, but it is not out of the question.

WEATHER BRAINS: Dr. William Gray, the hurricane guru, will be our guest on our weekly 30 minute podcast tonight. Can't wait to hear what he has to say; since NOAA was out with their hurricane season outlook earlier today. We will most likely have the podcast posted early tomorrow morning, by 6:30 or so. At that time it will be available on the web, and on iTunes!

The next map discussion video will be posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!