Watching For Strong Storms

The Friday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

SPC has placed about the northern third of Alabama under a slight risk of severe weather for this afternoon and early tonight as storms should begin to fire shortly in the hot and humid environment. An outflow boundary is floating aroung North Alabama, and will help to serve as a focus for storm formation during the next few hours. There is a layer of warm air between 5,000 and 10,000 feet on the morning sounding, but it is not especially strong and I think it will break shortly.

The main threat from storms this afternoon will be from strong winds and small hail, and most of the storms should die down by 9:00 p.m.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: No real change through the holiday weekend. Highs between 88 and 92, high humidity levels, and the daily risk of an afternoon storm in a few spots. Afternoon storms tomorrow and Sunday should be relatively isolated; perhaps a little more numerous early next week. Day to day weather changes in this pattern, and during this time of the year, are fairly subtle.

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine each day over the holiday weekend; highs in the mid to upper 80s along the immediate coast, and the water temperature continues to run in the upper 70s. As I write this the water temperature at Panama City is 87.3 degrees (F). A few showers or storms are possible, but most of them will be inland, and they will be pretty isolated.

LONG RANGE: The 12Z run of the GFS continues to hint at an eastern U.S. upper trough developing in the June 2-4 time frame; that might offer hope of a slight cooling trend if it happens. And, the GFS "bogus tropical storm of the day" on the 12Z run shows up over far southern Florida around June 8... it then moves off into the open Atlantic. The fact that the GFS is trying to develop some kind of tropical system on almost every run should tell us something; we just can't focus on details.

Tomorrow is the 33rd anniversary of the Greensboro/Brent/Wilsonville/Childersburg F4 tornado on May 27, 1973... scroll down to see some amazing pictures of the damage in Brent, including damage at the old WSR-57 radar site just southwest of Brent.

Enjoy the long weekend, and remember that "Memorial Day" is all about... brave men and women who have died in military service for the United States!

Posted by  
on May 26, 2006, 2:55 pm
Elbert county Colorado is under a tornado warning with a dew point of 27.

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